AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 2

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

39.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Big change in the look of this race with mass scratchings. BALMORAL CASTLE (1) was 39 days between runs when an eye-catching third last start over 6f at Rosehill. Progressive type who lines up for only the third time and will be tough to resist over a bit more ground today. CHAMPERE (8) started at $5.5 and gets a pass mark for her close fourth on debut at Canterbury three weeks ago. Draws a perfect gate and the winkers go on so there might be improvement to come. MOVIE NIGHT (4) is a full sister to a Flight Stakes winner on debut for O'Shea/Charlton. Recent trial winner who should be monitored carefully. WOOTTON WAY (11) wasn't given any hope by the market but did close well late on debut over 6f at Rosehill. In the mix with some natural improvement to come. Kris Lees' first starter ERIN JO (3) is by I Am Invincible from the grand race mare Lucia Valentina. Has been to the trials plenty of times so should have some race smarts.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Murtoa 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 4 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Wintery with 123lbs at $2.35. Second-up 3rd of 7 at Rosehill F&M Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Plaintiff carrying 125lbs at $5. Progressing well and is a leading contender. 1st Pick 1 Balmoral Castle Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ashley Morgan T: Ciaron Maher	128	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Murtoa 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 4 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Wintery with 123lbs at $2.35. Second-up 3rd of 7 at Rosehill F&M Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Plaintiff carrying 125lbs at $5. Progressing well and is a leading contender.
2	Second-up. First-up after nine months second last of 7 at Canterbury 3yo Mdn on November 14 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Namaste carrying 125lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Rosehill in the G3 Widden on February 1 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind The Playwright with 120lbs at $7.50. She has drawn poorly but if things go right she is capable of testing this field. 2nd Pick 2 Daphnes Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Non Runner T: Michael Freedman	208	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months second last of 7 at Canterbury 3yo Mdn on November 14 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Namaste carrying 125lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Rosehill in the G3 Widden on February 1 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind The Playwright with 120lbs at $7.50. She has drawn poorly but if things go right she is capable of testing this field.
12	Second-up. First-up after eight months from last on the turn 5th of 7 at Canterbury 3yo Mdn on November 14 over 6 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Namaste with 122lbs at $15. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at Canterbury 2yo Mdn on February 21 over 6 ¼f, 2.5 len behind State Visit with 117lbs at $31. Strips fitter and is likely to feature. 3rd Pick 12 You Sexy Thing Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	130	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months from last on the turn 5th of 7 at Canterbury 3yo Mdn on November 14 over 6 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Namaste with 122lbs at $15. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at Canterbury 2yo Mdn on February 21 over 6 ¼f, 2.5 len behind State Visit with 117lbs at $31. Strips fitter and is likely to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.