AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

39.6K

VIEW

Verdict

This has more the feel of a provincial maiden so VIVA MAURICIO (8) comes right into calculations. Opened this prep with an enormous effort over 6 ½f at Kembla, bombing the start and conceding at least a dozen lengths before finishing less than one length adrift. Nicely placed over the extra ½f - just needs to jump to play a key role. THE CHAMPION (7) was slowly into stride over 5f at Kembla on debut but warmed to the task late and wasn't beaten all that far. Needs this sort of trip and can improve sharply. ICHIBAN KOJI (1) did his best work late when returning from an eight-month spell over 6f at Canterbury recently. Lightly raced colt who finds a nice race and should be in the finish. CELLARMASTER (5) has not appeared since a modest debut at Newcastle in July. Trialled well recently and appears ready to run well. VALENTIAGO (9) is back after a 20-week lay-off. Improved as last prep went on and new heights can be reached this time in work.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Second-up. First start second last of 9 at Randwick 2yo Hcp on April 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Grand Eagle with 125lbs at $21. Went for a break before returning came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, 0.9 len behind Aristocrat carrying 127lbs at $10. Not helped by the wide draw but is one of the leading chances in a below-standard city maiden. 1st Pick 8 Viva Mauricio Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Chris Waller J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Chris Waller	164	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Second-up. First start second last of 9 at Randwick 2yo Hcp on April 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Grand Eagle with 125lbs at $21. Went for a break before returning came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, 0.9 len behind Aristocrat carrying 127lbs at $10. Not helped by the wide draw but is one of the leading chances in a below-standard city maiden.
7	Was at big odds at debut, 6th of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn-Sw on November 15 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Brown Sugar carrying 127lbs at $31. Promising type who should run boldly. 2nd Pick 7 The Champion Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Gary Portelli J: Ashley Morgan T: Gary Portelli	105	-	-	-	4%
Analysis Was at big odds at debut, 6th of 10 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn-Sw on November 15 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Brown Sugar carrying 127lbs at $31. Promising type who should run boldly.
1	Second-up. First-up after eight months 3rd of 9 at Canterbury Super Mdn-Sw on November 19 over 6f, 4 len behind Supermassive with 127lbs at $16. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Wyong 2yo Hcp on March 19 over 6 ¾f, 2 len behind Congressman with 122lbs at $11. Back in good shape and is a genuine hope. 3rd Pick 1 Ichiban Koji Jockey: Nash Rawiller Trainer: Chris Waller J: Nash Rawiller T: Chris Waller	185	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 3rd of 9 at Canterbury Super Mdn-Sw on November 19 over 6f, 4 len behind Supermassive with 127lbs at $16. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Wyong 2yo Hcp on March 19 over 6 ¾f, 2 len behind Congressman with 122lbs at $11. Back in good shape and is a genuine hope.

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