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5:40 AM

AU - Orange - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
18.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FAN SEA DIVA (9) stepped out on her debut over this trip at Nowra two-and-a-half weeks ago and caught the eye when flashing home for fourth, after settling a mile back. Is sure to have come on from that and is drawn much kinder. Expect her to settle closer and prove very hard to stop. WRITTEN ABOUT (13) finished along Fan Sea Diva, getting the bob for third. Is another likely improver that is sure to be very competitive. SMICHOV (5) also settled back on debut last time out but wound up strongly in the run home to finish third over 6f at Canberra. Has ability and is among the chances. MILLY MOLLY MANDY (7) is knocking on the door. Comes through the same Nowra race as the top two, where she led them up. With the same forward showing, she could steal it.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Fan Sea Diva silk

Jumped at big odds at debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Lambertina with 122lbs at $31. Promising three-year-old filly who is ideally placed to take this out.

1st Pick
9

Fan Sea Diva

Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Pierre Boudvillain

T: Matthew Smith

112---13%7/1

Analysis

Jumped at big odds at debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Lambertina with 122lbs at $31. Promising three-year-old filly who is ideally placed to take this out.

13
Written About silk

Was at big odds at debut, 3rd of 11 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Lambertina carrying 122lbs at $31. Looms as a serious contender.

2nd Pick
13

Written About

Jockey: Winona Costin

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Winona Costin

T: Matthew Smith

118---19%9/2

Analysis

Was at big odds at debut, 3rd of 11 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Lambertina carrying 122lbs at $31. Looms as a serious contender.

5
Smichov silk

At debut, 3rd of 11 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Shuttering with 127lbs at $21. Likely improver that can play a major role.

3rd Pick
5

Smichov

Jockey: Louise Day

Trainer: Jarrod Austin

J: Louise Day

T: Jarrod Austin

122---10%10/1

Analysis

At debut, 3rd of 11 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Shuttering with 127lbs at $21. Likely improver that can play a major role.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.