AU - Orange - Race 3

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.1K

VIEW

Verdict

XTRAVAGANT CHOICE (6) backs up quickly after finishing midfield in Open company at Wagga. Was no match for an impressive winner but trucked on soundly. Backs up quickly and has enough pace to offset the wide alley. Live hope. TOKYO STAR (10) is yet to strike through this prep but is knocking on the door. Could take some catching in front under the light weight. REBEL'S EDGE (4) hasn't been as effective in his last two but should be hitting his straps now. In the mix. TURGENEV (7) was in contention on the bend and finished second last start over 7f at this track when he worked home well. Is another that holds winning claims and is worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Warwick Farm 5yo+ Bm64 on December 17 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Ivan's Hero with 132lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 13 at Mudgee Mudgee Cup Mb79 on December 5 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Dances With Hooves with 120lbs at $41. Leading player. 1st Pick 1 How's It Kev Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Alison Smith J: Non Runner T: Alison Smith	150	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Warwick Farm 5yo+ Bm64 on December 17 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Ivan's Hero with 132lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 13 at Mudgee Mudgee Cup Mb79 on December 5 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Dances With Hooves with 120lbs at $41. Leading player.
6	Backs up quickly off six days. Most recently stuck on soundly into fourth over this journey at Wagga in Open company. The run before held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Queanbeyan Bm74 on November 28 over 1 ¼m, 1.1 len behind Craft carrying 132lbs at $6. Boasts a solid record over this trip and can play a major role on the short turnaround. 2nd Pick 6 Extravagant Choice Jockey: Louise Day Trainer: Nick Olive J: Louise Day T: Nick Olive	134	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Backs up quickly off six days. Most recently stuck on soundly into fourth over this journey at Wagga in Open company. The run before held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Queanbeyan Bm74 on November 28 over 1 ¼m, 1.1 len behind Craft carrying 132lbs at $6. Boasts a solid record over this trip and can play a major role on the short turnaround.
10	Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 11 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm58 on December 16 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Ivy Diva carrying 134lbs at $4.40. The run before that 4th of 9 at Canberra Cl2 on December 5 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Supairo with 128lbs at $6. Has ability and is strong top-three hope. 3rd Pick 10 Tokyo Star Jockey: Winona Costin Trainer: Fabio Martino J: Winona Costin T: Fabio Martino	73	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 11 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm58 on December 16 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Ivy Diva carrying 134lbs at $4.40. The run before that 4th of 9 at Canberra Cl2 on December 5 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Supairo with 128lbs at $6. Has ability and is strong top-three hope.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.