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6:34 AM

AU - Orange - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
17.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TURNED DOWN (3) switched barns and brought strong form to resumption winning a Kembla Grange 64 from the front. He led again following in a Rosehill 72 but couldn't finish it off over 6 ½f. He rates best and will be fitter again. May need longer now and that's the little niggle. DEVINE MISS (2) has been busting to win at Canberra and two back was narrowly beaten in Open grade. She has a low barrier and winning rider Cahill replaces the apprentice. That's a decent push for her chances. SMART AND DAPPER (4) has been knocking on the door in the country this grade and the on-pacer maps well. Peaks and gets another chance. CHARLEMAGNE (6) is much better than the form line suggests and has trialled sharply at Rosehill since last seen.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Turned Down silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming won by a head at Kembla Grange Bm64 October 26 over 6f defeating Seton Hall with 128lbs at $7. Second run from a spell led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Rosehill Bm72 on November 13 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Little Beginnings carrying 123lbs at $11. Profiles nicely. Fitter and rates strongly.

1st Pick
3

Turned Down

Jockey: Olivia Chambers

Trainer: Dean Mirfin

J: Olivia Chambers

T: Dean Mirfin

156---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming won by a head at Kembla Grange Bm64 October 26 over 6f defeating Seton Hall with 128lbs at $7. Second run from a spell led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Rosehill Bm72 on November 13 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Little Beginnings carrying 123lbs at $11. Profiles nicely. Fitter and rates strongly.

2
Devine Miss silk

Racing well. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Canberra Fed Open Bm85 on November 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Mosgold carrying 116lbs at $15. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Canberra Open on October 18 over 5f, slow going 0.7 len behind Iron Will with 121lbs at $4.50. Has decent claims.

2nd Pick
2

Devine Miss

Jockey: Matthew Cahill

Trainer: Norm Gardner

J: Matthew Cahill

T: Norm Gardner

153---12%15/2

Analysis

Racing well. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Canberra Fed Open Bm85 on November 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Mosgold carrying 116lbs at $15. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Canberra Open on October 18 over 5f, slow going 0.7 len behind Iron Will with 121lbs at $4.50. Has decent claims.

4
Smart And Dapper silk

Useful type. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Warren Club Sprnt on November 10 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Sisters Pick carrying 126lbs at $4. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Scone Bm82 on October 25 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sharp Shock carrying 126lbs at $3.50. One of the leading chances.

3rd Pick
4

Smart And Dapper

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Brett Thompson

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Brett Thompson

92---29%5/2

Analysis

Useful type. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Warren Club Sprnt on November 10 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Sisters Pick carrying 126lbs at $4. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Scone Bm82 on October 25 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sharp Shock carrying 126lbs at $3.50. One of the leading chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.