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AU - Orange - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive. THREEFOLD (7) didn't have the best of it at Newcastle and then delivered a Maiden at Nowra backed off the map. She's lightly raced and looks capable of taking the next step. THE MOOCH (8) was beaten 2L at Wellington but reckon her on the near miss here the one before. Keeps Cahill on a 5-day return and will go close. SUPER ZIPPI (1) resumed further improved when beaten a whisker at Newcastle and then pulled up with an issue at Hawkesbury following and best to forgive. She presents on the fresh side back in grade and the 7lbs claim brings her right into it. MOOD KILLER (6) and KING LANE (3) are improvers from the Collings yard and deserve a betting watch.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Dual acceptor. Useful filly. At the latest run favourite, won by a head at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw November 3 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Isagura carrying 122lbs at $1.50. The run before that 5th of 10 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 4 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Generous Harry with 121lbs at $7. Leading contender. 1st Pick 7 Threefold Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Danielle Seib J: Ashley Morgan T: Danielle Seib	128	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Dual acceptor. Useful filly. At the latest run favourite, won by a head at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw November 3 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Isagura carrying 122lbs at $1.50. The run before that 5th of 10 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 4 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Generous Harry with 121lbs at $7. Leading contender.
8	Going well. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Wellington Cl1 on November 17 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Wandering Jack carrying 122lbs at $3.50. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at this track Cl1 on October 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Iowna Benz with 122lbs at $7.50. Well placed. Has ability and can run a forward race. 2nd Pick 8 The Mooch Jockey: Matthew Cahill Trainer: Michael C Lynch J: Matthew Cahill T: Michael C Lynch	151	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Going well. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Wellington Cl1 on November 17 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Wandering Jack carrying 122lbs at $3.50. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at this track Cl1 on October 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Iowna Benz with 122lbs at $7.50. Well placed. Has ability and can run a forward race.
1	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at Newcastle Mid Bm64 on October 5 over 4 ½f, neck behind Procrastinator with 128lbs at $4.50. Second-up did the work up front then tired second last of 9 at Hawkesbury F&M Bm64 on October 24 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Glorioso with 127lbs at $21. Fitter and deserves consideration. 3rd Pick 1 Super Zippi Jockey: Ms Olivia Dalton Trainer: J M Austin J: Ms Olivia Dalton T: J M Austin	162	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at Newcastle Mid Bm64 on October 5 over 4 ½f, neck behind Procrastinator with 128lbs at $4.50. Second-up did the work up front then tired second last of 9 at Hawkesbury F&M Bm64 on October 24 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Glorioso with 127lbs at $21. Fitter and deserves consideration.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.