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4:10 AM

AU - Orange - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TANGO ON (5) did some early work to find the lead then tried very hard but wilted late last start over 5 ½f at Newcastle. Very fit gelding who gets in with a similar weight back in a country maiden. Suited coming back to 5f and is a nice bet at big odds. The impeccably bred CHISHOLM (1) returned from a 24-week spell last time out and finished a distance third over 4 ½f at Newcastle. Stakes placed on debut so she has a touch of quality. Likely to start pretty short and is the obvious threat. ROCKABYE ROXY (6) has not appeared since finding the line well to get up for third on debut over 5 ?f at the Canberra Acton track in June. Trialled nicely at Warwick Farm recently and should be prominent when the judge calls a halt. Bjorn Baker's CUESTA (2) returns from a five-month lay-off. Consistent performer last prep whose strong recent trial form points towards a strong return. COOL BLAZE (3) edged Chisholm out of second when they clashed at Newcastle recently. In the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Tango On silk

Last start did the work up front then tired second last of 9 at Hawkesbury Prov 4yo+ Mdn on November 8 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Ima Capri carrying 118lbs at $14. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Bathurst Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Ciao Bella Mia carrying 130lbs at $10. Finds an easier race this time and is right in contention.

1st Pick
5

Tango On

Jockey: Emma Ly

Trainer: Claire Lever

J: Emma Ly

T: Claire Lever

125---4%25/1

Analysis

Last start did the work up front then tired second last of 9 at Hawkesbury Prov 4yo+ Mdn on November 8 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Ima Capri carrying 118lbs at $14. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Bathurst Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Ciao Bella Mia carrying 130lbs at $10. Finds an easier race this time and is right in contention.

1
Chisholm silk

Second-up today. Last run 3rd of 9 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 4 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Swordplay with 122lbs at $1.90. At only start last preparation held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Morphettville Parks 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Esha with 119lbs at $1.60. Genuine filly who has her hoof right on the till.

2nd Pick
1

Chisholm

Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Jean Van Overmeire

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

134---56%4/5

Analysis

Second-up today. Last run 3rd of 9 at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 4 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Swordplay with 122lbs at $1.90. At only start last preparation held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Morphettville Parks 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Esha with 119lbs at $1.60. Genuine filly who has her hoof right on the till.

6
Rockabye Roxy silk

Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when 3rd of 9 at Canberra Acton Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Miss Indi with 121lbs at $16. This is an ideal race to kick off. Likely to progress this time in work.

3rd Pick
6

Rockabye Roxy

Jockey: Andrew Calder

Trainer: Gary Portelli

J: Andrew Calder

T: Gary Portelli

68---12%8/1

Analysis

Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when 3rd of 9 at Canberra Acton Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Miss Indi with 121lbs at $16. This is an ideal race to kick off. Likely to progress this time in work.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.