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3:24 AM

AU - Orange - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AUTUMN SONG (2) switched from a Queensland metro yard on a 49-day return and was beaten a whisker as favourite at Dubbo over this distance. He races forward and only has to match that effort to be winning. HIMEROS (6) peaks and will position forward. He's running out of chances but is going well enough to make the finish. SO SUPERIOR (3) is an improver who will carry just 120lbs with the claimer engaged. His Canberra effort was solid and the step up to the mile is likely to suit. Ditto GIOVANNA STAR (5) who is also third-up with more to offer.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Autumn Song silk

Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 13 at Dubbo Cl1-Sw on November 2 over 1m, head behind Ain't She Swell with 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Gold Coast Poly Mdn on September 14 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind No Double Dipping carrying 130lbs at $2.10. The one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Autumn Song

Jockey: Adrian Layt

Trainer: M R Mulholland

J: Adrian Layt

T: M R Mulholland

235---50%1/1

Analysis

Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 13 at Dubbo Cl1-Sw on November 2 over 1m, head behind Ain't She Swell with 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Gold Coast Poly Mdn on September 14 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind No Double Dipping carrying 130lbs at $2.10. The one to beat.

6
Himeros silk

At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Albury Cl1-Sw on November 8 over 1m, 4 len behind Wings Of Carmen with 127lbs at $21. The run before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Sapphire Coast Mdn on October 31 over 1m, 6 len behind Sir Sublime carrying 123lbs at $8. Has claims.

2nd Pick
6

Himeros

Jockey: Chad Lever

Trainer: James Ponsonby

J: Chad Lever

T: James Ponsonby

97---17%5/1

Analysis

At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Albury Cl1-Sw on November 8 over 1m, 4 len behind Wings Of Carmen with 127lbs at $21. The run before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Sapphire Coast Mdn on October 31 over 1m, 6 len behind Sir Sublime carrying 123lbs at $8. Has claims.

3
So Superior silk

Third-up today. First-up settled back and ran on when 8th of 10 at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Luxe Eternal carrying 120lbs at $101. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Brazen Crime with 118lbs at $41. Racing well. Improver who should be aqround the mark.

3rd Pick
3

So Superior

Jockey: Ms Olivia Dalton

Trainer: Amanda Turner

J: Ms Olivia Dalton

T: Amanda Turner

103---14%13/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up settled back and ran on when 8th of 10 at Hawkesbury Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Luxe Eternal carrying 120lbs at $101. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Brazen Crime with 118lbs at $41. Racing well. Improver who should be aqround the mark.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.