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2:49 AM

AU - Orange - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

THREW (4) missed a whisker here twice over this trip and then got too far back at Wyong. He is much better suited today and maps well. HOT GOSPEL (5) stepped up to this distance range at Dubbo and finished it off well winning a 58. Stays down in the weights and will enjoy a soft run. BUFF IN DISGUISE (3) found a distant placing at Newcastle but reckon his chances on the 65 win at Canberra prior over 1 5/16m. That would see him right in the finish. ROMAN HANDS (1) races forward but he didn't run it out over two miles at Wagga. He was beaten a whisker there prior over 1 ?/16m from the front. He's back plenty in trip but can't be ruled out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At the latest run 5th of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on October 31 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Oakfield Hawk with 115lbs at $10. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Bm66 on October 22 over 1 5/16m, slow going neck behind Just Boogie with 121lbs at $4. Has decent claims. 1st Pick 4 Threw Jockey: Olivia Chambers Trainer: Wendy Haynes J: Olivia Chambers T: Wendy Haynes	132	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on October 31 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Oakfield Hawk with 115lbs at $10. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Bm66 on October 22 over 1 5/16m, slow going neck behind Just Boogie with 121lbs at $4. Has decent claims.
5	Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by a nose at Dubbo Bm58 November 2 over 1m defeating Raiding carrying 125lbs at $5. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Mudgee Bm50 on October 26 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Nevada Showgirl carrying 133lbs at $4. Rates highly and is among the main hopes. 2nd Pick 5 Hot Gospel Jockey: Adrian Layt Trainer: Dar Lunn J: Adrian Layt T: Dar Lunn	128	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by a nose at Dubbo Bm58 November 2 over 1m defeating Raiding carrying 125lbs at $5. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Mudgee Bm50 on October 26 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Nevada Showgirl carrying 133lbs at $4. Rates highly and is among the main hopes.
3	Racing well. Most recently ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Newcastle Bm64 on November 2 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Be Real with 121lbs at $21. The race before that won by 0.6 len at Canberra Bm65 October 11 over 1 ¼m defeating Where Is Ken carrying 125lbs at $12. Well placed. Sure to go well. 3rd Pick 3 Buff In Disguise Jockey: Andrew Calder Trainer: Ron Leemon J: Andrew Calder T: Ron Leemon	148	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Racing well. Most recently ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Newcastle Bm64 on November 2 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Be Real with 121lbs at $21. The race before that won by 0.6 len at Canberra Bm65 October 11 over 1 ¼m defeating Where Is Ken carrying 125lbs at $12. Well placed. Sure to go well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.