AU - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

27.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ORTHIE'S BOYS (5) drops in grade after a solid effort at Randwick where he wasn't beaten far. Easier this time and he maps for a lovely trail behind the speed. Expecting him to prove hard to hold out. OLLIE'S SECRET (13) has sharp early toe and will spear across to make his own luck on speed. Rock-hard fit now and will give backers a big sight if left alone up front. SURREAL I AM (6) impressed here last time with a strong finish. Keeps improving and must be respected. ALL HUNKY DORY (1) was consistent last time in and can go well fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on September 20 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Iceman carrying 122lbs at $4.60. The start before that won by 2 len at Kembla Grange Cond Bm68 August 30 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Super Sugoi with 120lbs at $4.80. Drops in grade and is expected to take plenty of stopping. 1st Pick 5 Orthie's Boys Jockey: Regan Bayliss Trainer: Gregory Mcfarlane J: Regan Bayliss T: Gregory Mcfarlane	113	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on September 20 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Iceman carrying 122lbs at $4.60. The start before that won by 2 len at Kembla Grange Cond Bm68 August 30 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Super Sugoi with 120lbs at $4.80. Drops in grade and is expected to take plenty of stopping.
13	Last start faded in the straight 5th of 9 at Scone Bm74 on September 26 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Great Point with 131lbs at $16. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Wyong Bm64 on September 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Azarax carrying 127lbs at $26. Has a stack of early speed and will give a bold sight. 2nd Pick 13 Ollie's Secret Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: Jan Bowen J: Anna Roper T: Jan Bowen	87	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Last start faded in the straight 5th of 9 at Scone Bm74 on September 26 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Great Point with 131lbs at $16. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Wyong Bm64 on September 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Azarax carrying 127lbs at $26. Has a stack of early speed and will give a bold sight.
3	Last start second last of 8 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 on September 27 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Meridiana with 125lbs at $7. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on September 6 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Denman Star carrying 125lbs at $6. Peaking now and can give this a big shake. 3rd Pick 3 Bellenth Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kim Waugh J: Non Runner T: Kim Waugh	113	-	-	-	19%	Scratched
Analysis Last start second last of 8 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 on September 27 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Meridiana with 125lbs at $7. Before that held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on September 6 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Denman Star carrying 125lbs at $6. Peaking now and can give this a big shake.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.