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5:55 AM

AU - Newcastle - Race 6

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6.2f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 4
29.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KOIOS (1) looks primed to fire fresh after two sharp trial wins leading in. Forget his final two runs last prep when clearly at the end, his earlier form was rock-solid and he now finds a very winnable race first-up. Maps for the gun run and can make an immediate impact. AUTUMN BLONDE (2) drops sharply in class after contesting the G2 Tea Rose and looks far better placed here. Boasts the race fitness edge and is an obvious threat. VALIANT BOMB (3) resumes off two nice trials and showed good ability in his debut prep. Draws kindly and can be right in the finish. AMARETTO BO (4) wasn't as effective last time but returns to where he bolted in first-up. Capable of bouncing straight back. TONG HO (5) can fill a minor placing if he brings his A-game.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Koios silk

Is first-up after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign second last of 11 at this track Cl1 April 23 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Motoscafo carrying 127lbs at $4. Previously first up, fourth of 10 at Randwick Kensington Super Mdn-Sw January 15 over 5 ¾f, soft track, a head behind Mailata carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Raring to go with two strong trials under the belt.

1st Pick
1

Koios

Jockey: Grant Buckley

Trainer: Nacim Dilmi

J: Grant Buckley

T: Nacim Dilmi

140---25%3/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign second last of 11 at this track Cl1 April 23 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Motoscafo carrying 127lbs at $4. Previously first up, fourth of 10 at Randwick Kensington Super Mdn-Sw January 15 over 5 ¾f, soft track, a head behind Mailata carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Raring to go with two strong trials under the belt.

2
Autumn Blonde silk

Last start didn't do much in the run home, second last of 11 at Randwick in the G2 Tea Rose on September 20 over 7f, 6 len behind Apocalyptic carrying 123lbs at $61. Before that won by 0.8 len at Kembla Grange Mid 3yo Mdn August 30 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Royal Corporal carrying 128lbs at $1.90. Better suited back to this grade and is one of the leading contenders.

2nd Pick
2

Autumn Blonde

Jockey: Mitch Stapleford

Trainer: John Sargent

J: Mitch Stapleford

T: John Sargent

208---34%2/1

Analysis

Last start didn't do much in the run home, second last of 11 at Randwick in the G2 Tea Rose on September 20 over 7f, 6 len behind Apocalyptic carrying 123lbs at $61. Before that won by 0.8 len at Kembla Grange Mid 3yo Mdn August 30 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Royal Corporal carrying 128lbs at $1.90. Better suited back to this grade and is one of the leading contenders.

3
Valiant Bomb silk

Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at Randwick Kensington Bm64 May 14 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Ella Hazel with 126lbs at $12. On debut third in a small field at Canberra Mdn-Sw February 7 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Buenos carrying 129lbs at $13. Could give plenty of cheek in front.

3rd Pick
3

Valiant Bomb

Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire

Trainer: Jim & Greg Lee

J: Jean Van Overmeire

T: Jim & Greg Lee

92---20%4/1

Analysis

Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at Randwick Kensington Bm64 May 14 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Ella Hazel with 126lbs at $12. On debut third in a small field at Canberra Mdn-Sw February 7 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Buenos carrying 129lbs at $13. Could give plenty of cheek in front.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

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A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

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