GB - Kempton Park - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard / Slow

11.0K

VIEW

Verdict

TYGER BAY wasn't disgraced in a higher-grade handicap back from a 9-week break at Lingfield and, now 11 lb below his last winning mark, Conrad Allen's charge could be the answer. Next on the list is Jackson Street, who doesn't always help himself by taking a strong hold but a reproduction of his latest effort would put him firmly in the picture. Recent Chepstow winner Papabella is third choice, while a case can also be made for Havana Sky.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Four-time C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2024. 18/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW) 28 days ago. On a good mark and a bold show could be on the way. 1st Pick 9 Tyger Bay Jockey: Joe Leavy Trainer: Conrad Allen J: Joe Leavy T: Conrad Allen	100	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Four-time C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2024. 18/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW) 28 days ago. On a good mark and a bold show could be on the way.
12	One win from 22 Flat runs. Second of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 40/1) 28 days ago. Remains feasibly treated up 1 lb and he'll be a danger to all if able to build on that effort. 2nd Pick 12 Jackson Street (Ire) Jockey: Nicola Currie Trainer: Michael Attwater J: Nicola Currie T: Michael Attwater	98	-	-	-	14%	Scratched
Analysis One win from 22 Flat runs. Second of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 40/1) 28 days ago. Remains feasibly treated up 1 lb and he'll be a danger to all if able to build on that effort.
10	6/4, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Chepstow (6.1f, good to firm) 17 days ago. 2 lb nudge looks about right and she has to enter calculations. 3rd Pick 10 Papabella Jockey: Rob Hornby Trainer: Stuart Kittow J: Rob Hornby T: Stuart Kittow	97	-	-	-	23%
Analysis 6/4, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Chepstow (6.1f, good to firm) 17 days ago. 2 lb nudge looks about right and she has to enter calculations.

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