JP - Kawasaki - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

12.3K

VIEW

Verdict

ATAGO TENJIN (6) was in a different class last time with a dominant all-the-way win by 4 lengths at this track over 4 ½f. Tsubasa Sasagawa who has scored on him four times retains the mount. Best form puts him right in this. SMOKIN' BILLY (7) stalked the pace when resuming at this track and trip last start then worked to the line steadily to finish third. Sure to be thereabouts. NEVER END MARCH (3) kicked off this campaign with a win two runs ago. Less impressive last time out when sixth over 4 ½f at this track, beaten 5 lengths after being in the firing line on the corner. Likely improver with strong prospects. HI BARBIE (4) finished fifth last time out over 4 ½f at this track, beaten 4.5 lengths. Boasts a win and two minor placings from four starts at this track and distance. Strong top-three chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second-up. First-up after nine months scored a big 4 len win at this track January 1 over 4 ½f defeating Maono Volcano with 123lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up second last of 13 at Ohi on April 29 over 6f, 17 len behind Maruyo Jordan carrying 123lbs at $2.20. Great chance to make it two in a row. Improver with winning prospects. 1st Pick 6 Atago Tenjin Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: H Sasaki J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: H Sasaki	167	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months scored a big 4 len win at this track January 1 over 4 ½f defeating Maono Volcano with 123lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up second last of 13 at Ohi on April 29 over 6f, 17 len behind Maruyo Jordan carrying 123lbs at $2.20. Great chance to make it two in a row. Improver with winning prospects.
7	Second-up today. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on January 3 over 4 ½f, long-neck behind Smart Alive carrying 123lbs at $5.30. At only start last preparation second last of 8 at Kanazawa on October 21 over 7 ½f, 8 len behind Weathercock carrying 126lbs at $34. Among the leading chances. 2nd Pick 7 Smokin' Billy Jockey: Norifumi Mikamoto Trainer: Hiroyuki Mogi J: Norifumi Mikamoto T: Hiroyuki Mogi	183	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up today. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track on January 3 over 4 ½f, long-neck behind Smart Alive carrying 123lbs at $5.30. At only start last preparation second last of 8 at Kanazawa on October 21 over 7 ½f, 8 len behind Weathercock carrying 126lbs at $34. Among the leading chances.
3	Third-up today. Resuming won by 1.5 len at this track December 15 over 4 ½f defeating Hi Barbie carrying 123lbs at $2.70. Second-up 6th of 12 at this track on January 1 over 4 ½f, 5 len behind Atago Tenjin carrying 123lbs at $5.20. Well placed. Should prove hard to beat. 3rd Pick 3 Never End March Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki J: Ryo Novata T: Kenichi Takatsuki	135	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming won by 1.5 len at this track December 15 over 4 ½f defeating Hi Barbie carrying 123lbs at $2.70. Second-up 6th of 12 at this track on January 1 over 4 ½f, 5 len behind Atago Tenjin carrying 123lbs at $5.20. Well placed. Should prove hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.