Hong Kong Sha Tin - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

239.0K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

LIGHT YEARS CHARM (9) has made an encouraging start to his local career with a couple of fast-finishing efforts to open the season and he should have finished closer than fourth last time out after being held up at a vital stage. He gets a draw upgrade and also has Zac Purton in the saddle which makes him the one to beat this time. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE (13) ruined his winning chances as favourite last time out by making a slow start. He has won a trial since then and can bounce back to take this out. LIVEANDLETLIVE (7) ran on late to finish sixth here in his local debut and he is sure to be improved by that run. He will want more ground in the future but can still have a say in the finish here. Watch for him late. GRACIOUS EXPRESS (2) seems to be at his best when allowed to stride along in the lead. He might have to work a bit from a wide gate but James McDonald will still give him every chance. PATCH OF COSMO (12) did not have much luck and is worth another chance at each-way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Useful type. At the latest run 7th of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Huge Wave carrying 123lbs at $36. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on November 24 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Sky Trust with 131lbs at $6.50. Encouraging 1st Pick 3 Prestige Always Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Blake Shinn T: Pierre Ng	112	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Useful type. At the latest run 7th of 14 at this track on January 1 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Huge Wave carrying 123lbs at $36. The race before that 6th of 14 at this track on November 24 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Sky Trust with 131lbs at $6.50. Encouraging
9	Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 14 at this track on December 15 over 7f, 4 len behind Tourbillon Prince with 119lbs at $3.70. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on January 5 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Packing Angel with 119lbs at $11. Rates highly and can b 2nd Pick 9 Light Years Charm Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Eustace J: Zac Purton T: David Eustace	104	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 14 at this track on December 15 over 7f, 4 len behind Tourbillon Prince with 119lbs at $3.70. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on January 5 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Packing Angel with 119lbs at $11. Rates highly and can b
2	Useful gelding. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 26 over 1 1/16m, 4 len behind Romantic Laos carrying 134lbs at $4.70. The start before that 4th of 14 at this track on December 1 over 7f, 4 len beh 3rd Pick 2 Gracious Express Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: P F Yiu J: James Mcdonald T: P F Yiu	159	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Useful gelding. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Happy Valley on December 26 over 1 1/16m, 4 len behind Romantic Laos carrying 134lbs at $4.70. The start before that 4th of 14 at this track on December 1 over 7f, 4 len beh

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.