Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 9

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

262.5K

VIEW

Verdict

FORTUNATE SON (6) ran over the top to score very impressively as the favourite at this track and trip last time out. This is tougher, but he drops 11lbs today and draws inside for Guyon. The French hoop has options and if he can run up to his recent effort, he can repeat the dose. CORLEONE (5) couldn't make it a hat-trick last start when finding one better over this track and trip as the $2 favourite. Wong's claim comes in handy and he's likely to be on the speed from a good draw. Nice trial recently under his own steam and he can get back to winning ways without surprising. SUPER UNICORN (4) disappointed over this trip on the All Weather last start and comes back to his preferred course and trip. His runs here prior were superb and a return to that level would see him hard to hold out. ALLCASH (11) flew home last time out and can feature in the finish once again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	At the latest run favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track January 14 over 1 m defeating Inno Super with 134lbs at $4.40. The run before that 7th of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 5 len behind Celtic Times with 134lbs at $8.50. Will again prove tough to stop at this favoured circuit. 1st Pick 6 Fortunate Son Jockey: Maxime Guyon Trainer: W K Mo J: Maxime Guyon T: W K Mo	131	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track January 14 over 1 m defeating Inno Super with 134lbs at $4.40. The run before that 7th of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 5 len behind Celtic Times with 134lbs at $8.50. Will again prove tough to stop at this favoured circuit.
5	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Solid Win carrying 120lbs at $2. The race before that favourite, won by a nose at this track December 10 over 1 m defeating Ace War with 134lbs at $1.80. Shapes as a key runner. 2nd Pick 5 Corleone Jockey: E C W Wong Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: E C W Wong T: Caspar Fownes	132	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Solid Win carrying 120lbs at $2. The race before that favourite, won by a nose at this track December 10 over 1 m defeating Ace War with 134lbs at $1.80. Shapes as a key runner.
4	Most recently 12th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on January 21 over 1 m, 7 len behind Dragon Air Force with 125lbs at $37. The race before that 4th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind A Americ Te Specso with 125lbs at $9. Looks well-placed to return to form. 3rd Pick 4 Super Unicorn Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Andrea Atzeni T: Mark Newnham	112	-	-	-	6%	17/1
Analysis Most recently 12th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on January 21 over 1 m, 7 len behind Dragon Air Force with 125lbs at $37. The race before that 4th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind A Americ Te Specso with 125lbs at $9. Looks well-placed to return to form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.