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1:05 PM

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
238.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOVE TOGETHER (3) disappointed two back before a 0.8L victory last time out at this track and trip as the race favourite. He rates highly on that win and still has plenty of room for improvement being a lightly raced 3YO. Can land midfield from the draw and get over the top of his rivals again. CANDLELIGHT DINNER (5) won two back in fine style before a disappointing effort when out to 6f at Sha Tin. Back to the scene of the crime here and he possesses good early speed to offset the tricky draw. Can bounce back in a big way. ETERNAL FORTUNE (4) hasn't won for a while but continues to knock on the door, finishing 2.8L behind Love Together last time out. Needs some luck from out wide but has plenty of ratings that say he's good enough. IRON SECURITY (8) has shown glimpses at the trials and is not to be discounted in his HK debut.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Love Together silk

At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track January 7 over 5f defeating Wonderstar with 119lbs at $3.60. The race before that got back early 6th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 5f, 3 len behind Candlelight Dinner carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Key chance expected to feature.

1st Pick
3

Love Together

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Vincent Ho

T: Caspar Fownes

143---34%2/1

Analysis

At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track January 7 over 5f defeating Wonderstar with 119lbs at $3.60. The race before that got back early 6th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 5f, 3 len behind Candlelight Dinner carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Key chance expected to feature.

5
Candlelight Dinner silk

Comes off a 34 day let-up. Last start raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 6f, 3 len behind Infinite Resolve carrying 126lbs at $13. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.3 len at this track December 17 over 5f defeating Healthy Healthy with 119lbs at $6.40. Good enough on his day and can improve sharply.

2nd Pick
5

Candlelight Dinner

Jockey: Maxime Guyon

Trainer: Y S Tsui

J: Maxime Guyon

T: Y S Tsui

115---15%6/1

Analysis

Comes off a 34 day let-up. Last start raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 6f, 3 len behind Infinite Resolve carrying 126lbs at $13. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.3 len at this track December 17 over 5f defeating Healthy Healthy with 119lbs at $6.40. Good enough on his day and can improve sharply.

4
Eternal Fortune silk

At the latest run ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Love Together carrying 118lbs at $4. The start before that 5th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Candlelight Dinner carrying 130lbs at $9.40. Can improve again. Rates highly and is likely to be in the finish.

3rd Pick
4

Eternal Fortune

Jockey: E C W Wong

Trainer: Danny Shum

J: E C W Wong

T: Danny Shum

102---10%9/1

Analysis

At the latest run ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Love Together carrying 118lbs at $4. The start before that 5th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Candlelight Dinner carrying 130lbs at $9.40. Can improve again. Rates highly and is likely to be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.