Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.8K

VIEW

Verdict

CALIFORNIA MOXIE (3) flew home to win two back before leaving himself with too much to do last time out. He's since trialled very well in the 28 days since and Bowman remains with the gelding. Loves this track and trip and can storm over the top once again. GLORIOUS JOURNEY (5) is better than he showed last start, getting well back and failing to figure in the finish. His two runs prior were super and he's easy to forgive after just one plain run last time out. Likely to get back again but has to be included. AESTHETICISM (1) comes back in Class today and gets Purton in the saddle after partnering him in his latest trial. Purton has a good record aboard the gelding and he'll appreciate the easier company today. Expecting a sharp turnaround in form. STORMI (8) led and won easily here last time out and can repeat the dose from an inside draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Most recently 3rd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Stormi carrying 134lbs at $7.20. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.75 len at this track December 17 over 1 m defeating Glorious Journey carrying 125lbs at $6.80. Big chance. 1st Pick 3 California Moxie Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: A S Cruz J: Hugh Bowman T: A S Cruz	151	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind Stormi carrying 134lbs at $7.20. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.75 len at this track December 17 over 1 m defeating Glorious Journey carrying 125lbs at $6.80. Big chance.
5	At the latest run 7th of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 5 len behind Fortune Star carrying 131lbs at $6.20. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track on December 17 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind California Moxie carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 5 Glorious Journey Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: F C Lor J: Vincent Ho T: F C Lor	90	-	-	-	5%	21/1
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 5 len behind Fortune Star carrying 131lbs at $6.20. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track on December 17 over 1 m, 1.75 len behind California Moxie carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.
1	Most recently eased back early on 8th of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 4.5 len behind Max Que with 115lbs at $15. The start before that 7th of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1m, 3 len behind The Auspicious carrying 122lbs at $42. Nicely placed and is a winning chance. 3rd Pick 1 Aestheticism Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Zac Purton T: Pierre Ng	142	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently eased back early on 8th of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 4.5 len behind Max Que with 115lbs at $15. The start before that 7th of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1m, 3 len behind The Auspicious carrying 122lbs at $42. Nicely placed and is a winning chance.

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