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12:05 noon

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8.9f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HAKKA RADIANCE (4) had to do plenty of work two back and faded before a 1.8L defeat over 1 ¼m at Sha Tin most recently. Back to his preferred track and trip now and the inside barrier is perfect for him. Can bounce back to winning ways in this favourable scenario. STORM RUNNER (12) hasn't turned in a poor run for quite a while now, finishing less than a length away in his last three outings. His latest trial was solid and he drops in weight as he rises in grade. Gets a gear change as well and a forward showing is expected despite the wide draw. AMAZING GAZE (3) has been beaten 0.8L at his past two outings and now rises up to the 1 ?m trip for the first time. Purton sticks with him here and he has enough early speed to offset the tricky draw. Can play a leading role. OCEAN IMPACT (5) can go on with the job after a good win over this track and trip 70 days ago.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Hakka Radiance silk

Comes off a 34 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 128lbs at $5.90. The start before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 5th of 12 at this track on November 26 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Ocean Impact carrying 129lbs at $4. Well placed to find winning form again.

1st Pick
4

Hakka Radiance

Jockey: Hugh Bowman

Trainer: Danny Shum

J: Hugh Bowman

T: Danny Shum

130---12%8/1

Analysis

Comes off a 34 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on January 1 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Yiu Cheung Victory carrying 128lbs at $5.90. The start before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 5th of 12 at this track on November 26 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Ocean Impact carrying 129lbs at $4. Well placed to find winning form again.

12
Storm Runner silk

Racing well recently. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1m, neck behind Beauty Missile with 134lbs at $2.40. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on December 17 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Star Brose carrying 134lbs at $3.20. Right in the mix again.

2nd Pick
12

Storm Runner

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: Pierre Ng

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: Pierre Ng

106---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on January 7 over 1m, neck behind Beauty Missile with 134lbs at $2.40. The run before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on December 17 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Star Brose carrying 134lbs at $3.20. Right in the mix again.

3
Amazing Gaze silk

Racing well recently. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on January 18 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Flow Water Flow carrying 130lbs at $6.30. The run before that 4th of 12 at this track on December 10 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Corleone carrying 128lbs at $10. Tough to beat.

3rd Pick
3

Amazing Gaze

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Zac Purton

T: David A Hayes

152---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on January 18 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Flow Water Flow carrying 130lbs at $6.30. The run before that 4th of 12 at this track on December 10 over 1 m, 0.8 len behind Corleone carrying 128lbs at $10. Tough to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.