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11:35 AM

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
8.2f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
399.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HELENE FEELING (2) jumped the equal fav in the G3 January Cup here last start and wasn't disgraced when closing strongly. He was a good winner in this grade prior and this looks to set up similarly. Back to the 1 m looks a good move and he can bounce back to winning ways. HUGE WAVE (3) beat home Helene Feeling last start but was edged out by that same horse two back at this track and trip. That form looks the line to follow for this race, though he does meet Helene Feeling worse at the weights today for that run two back. Can't have one without bringing the other along for the ride. SILVERY BREEZE (8) profiles nicely for a race of this calibre after getting well back and hitting the line hard here last start. He drops 18lbs for the rise in grade today and he shouldn't be too far off the leader in this field. Can get over the top of them with no weight on his back. NEW FOREST (5) is back onto the turf today but creates plenty of interest with his two recent victories.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Helene Feeling silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track in the G3 January Cup on January 14 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Speed Dragon carrying 125lbs at $5.30. The start before that favourite, won by a nose at this track December 23 over 1 m defeating Huge Wave with 134lbs at $7.10. Big chance to bounce straight back.

1st Pick
2

Helene Feeling

Jockey: Hugh Bowman

Trainer: Danny Shum

J: Hugh Bowman

T: Danny Shum

197---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 12 at this track in the G3 January Cup on January 14 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Speed Dragon carrying 125lbs at $5.30. The start before that favourite, won by a nose at this track December 23 over 1 m defeating Huge Wave with 134lbs at $7.10. Big chance to bounce straight back.

3
Huge Wave silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track in the G3 January Cup on January 14 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Speed Dragon with 117lbs at $5.30. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1 m, nose behind Helene Feeling with 125lbs at $4.50. Great chance to score.

2nd Pick
3

Huge Wave

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: K H Ting

J: Alex Badel

T: K H Ting

135---29%5/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track in the G3 January Cup on January 14 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Speed Dragon with 117lbs at $5.30. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track on December 23 over 1 m, nose behind Helene Feeling with 125lbs at $4.50. Great chance to score.

8
Silvery Breeze silk

Recent form sound. Last start made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Max Que carrying 132lbs at $4.60. The race before that won by a neck at this track December 10 over 1 m defeating Flying Fortress with 131lbs at $3.90. Going very well and is expected to be in the finish.

3rd Pick
8

Silvery Breeze

Jockey: Karis Teetan

Trainer: David Eustace

J: Karis Teetan

T: David Eustace

83---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at this track on January 14 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Max Que carrying 132lbs at $4.60. The race before that won by a neck at this track December 10 over 1 m defeating Flying Fortress with 131lbs at $3.90. Going very well and is expected to be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.