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4:18 AM

NZ - Ellerslie - Race 9

Thoroughbred
21 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
31.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOLDEN WINGS (7) bolted in when clearing his maiden status here earlier in the month, and then was fourth as a short-priced favourite at Pukekohe a week ago, when starting from a wide gate. He will be hoping for some better luck here from another wide gate here, and should be right in the finish. HARD ROCA (6) has motored home late in his last couple of starts here over 5 ½f, and the step up to 6 ½f should make all the difference. He has been looking for some firmer ground, and with conditions to suit, he is ready to win another race. RISE COMPANIONS (9) let down with a powerful finish to score fresh up at Te Aroha 18 days ago. He has a few tricks and is far from the finished product, but he is very talented and should progress through the grades this season. BELLARISTA (11) was beaten by a head fresh up, and then was runner-up again this time as the favourite last time out. She has Craig Grylls in the saddle this time, and can go one better. AWATERE (3) is worth including.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Golden Wings silk

Racing well recently. Last start crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sista Sugar with 130lbs at $1.80. The run before that favourite, scored a big 4.5 len win at this track November 4 over 6f in soft going defeating Navy Ensign with 129lbs at $1.70. Shapes as a top chance on recent form.

1st Pick
7

Golden Wings

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Hanna Orting And Sophia Nolan

J: Non Runner

T: Hanna Orting And Sophia Nolan

125---1%1000/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Sista Sugar with 130lbs at $1.80. The run before that favourite, scored a big 4.5 len win at this track November 4 over 6f in soft going defeating Navy Ensign with 129lbs at $1.70. Shapes as a top chance on recent form.

6
Hard Roca silk

Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on November 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Miss Fladgate carrying 127lbs at $5.70. The start before that 8th of 14 at this track on September 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind First Dance carrying 130lbs at $5.90. Likely to feature.

2nd Pick
6

Hard Roca

Jockey: Rihaan Goyaram

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Rihaan Goyaram

T: Andrew Forsman

92---12%15/2

Analysis

Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on November 4 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Miss Fladgate carrying 127lbs at $5.70. The start before that 8th of 14 at this track on September 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind First Dance carrying 130lbs at $5.90. Likely to feature.

9
Rise Companions silk

Second-up. First-up after seven months favourite, won by 2 len at Te Aroha November 11 over 5 ¾f on a soft track defeating Captain Stan carrying 129lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 5th of 15 at this track on May 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Hero Of War carrying 129lbs at $2.10. Leading contender.

3rd Pick
9

Rise Companions

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Simon & Katrina Alexander

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Simon & Katrina Alexander

88---16%11/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after seven months favourite, won by 2 len at Te Aroha November 11 over 5 ¾f on a soft track defeating Captain Stan carrying 129lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 5th of 15 at this track on May 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Hero Of War carrying 129lbs at $2.10. Leading contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.