NZ - Ellerslie - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

68.3K

VIEW

Verdict

EL VENCEDOR (1) tried hard and was runner-up in the G1 Livermol Stakes here in his penultimate start, and then was too strong off the front in the G3 Balmerino Stakes on this track just over 3 weeks ago. Dropping back to a mile should be a problem now that he is fully fit, and he should be too good again. MEANINGFUL STAR (2) was a touch unlucky not to have won his last start in the G2 Tauranga Stakes a fortnight ago. He was less than a length from the winner here before that, and looks to be the only threat to the top pick if there is to be one. HABANA (4) ran on late here last start, and even though he has been a touch disappointing this prep, he has found the right sort of race to bounce back into some decent form again. Include in all combinations. MARY SHAN (9) was back to her best when producing a big finish to score at Tauranga 2 weeks ago over 7f. She does prefer some cut in the ground, and can figure in the top 3 again. YOU SAY D'ORSAY (7) is a top 4 hope at value here.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1st Pick 1 El Vencedor Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Wiremu Pinn T: Stephen Marsh	149	-	-	-	58%	8/11
2	2nd Pick 2 Meaningful Star Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley J: Matt Cartwright T: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley	112	-	-	-	15%	6/1
3	3 Nereus Jockey: Vinnie Colgan Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Vinnie Colgan T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	81	-	-	-	5%	20/1
4	3rd Pick 4 Habana Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	105	-	-	-	9%	11/1
5	5 Mahrajaan Jockey: Sam Weatherley Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Sam Weatherley T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	62	-	-	-	3%	33/1
6	6 Fly My Wey Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Mark Brosnan J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Mark Brosnan	60	-	-	-	3%	40/1
7	7 You Say D'orsay Jockey: Tayla Mitchell Trainer: Chris Wood J: Tayla Mitchell T: Chris Wood	89	-	-	-	9%	11/1
8	8 Major Major Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Simon & Katrina Alexander J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Simon & Katrina Alexander	75	-	-	-	3%	40/1
9	9 Mary Shan Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	118	-	-	-	16%	11/2
10	10 I'm Lulu Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Todd Mcdonald J: Non Runner T: Todd Mcdonald	76	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
11	11 Elysian Fields Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Terry Powell J: Hayley Hassman T: Terry Powell	60	-	-	-	2%	50/1

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.