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1:15 AM

NZ - Ellerslie - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6.5f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
37.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MOSINVADER (3) has found it hard to win another race, and resumed from a spell with a bold late finish for second at Tauranga 4 weeks ago over 6 ½f. He has a superior gate this time and should not settle as far back in the field this time. On top for us. FIRST FIVE (2) fought on gamely for a narrowly beaten fourth fresh up in the Listed Legacy Lodge Stakes at Pukekohe 3 weeks ago. He is normally just as sharp second up, and with the drop down in class, he will go close to taking this out. MERCURIAL (1) had a couple of starts last winter and was put aside after failing to cope with the heavy ground. He resumes with a couple of trials under his belt, and on a firmer surface, he is expected to be very competitive in this fresh up. FROSTFAIR (5) made up some late ground when finishing fourth at Tauranga 4 weeks ago. She is peaking at the right time, and she has won twice on this track in the past. Each way value here. POUR THE WINE (4) was close up in fifth in G3 company last start.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Mercurial silk
3rd Pick
1

Mercurial

Jockey: Sam Mcnab

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Sam Mcnab

T: Stephen Marsh

108---7%15/1
2
First Five silk
2nd Pick
2

First Five

Jockey: Wiremu Pinn

Trainer: David Greene

J: Wiremu Pinn

T: David Greene

107---14%13/2
3
Mosinvader silk
1st Pick
3

Mosinvader

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

189---23%7/2
4
Pour The Wine silk
4

Pour The Wine

Jockey: Vinnie Colgan

Trainer: Barbara Kennedy

J: Vinnie Colgan

T: Barbara Kennedy

153---7%15/1
5
Frostfair silk
5

Frostfair

Jockey: Warren Kennedy

Trainer: Lance Noble

J: Warren Kennedy

T: Lance Noble

131---29%5/2
6
Rareza silk
6

Rareza

Jockey: Sam Weatherley

Trainer: Cody Cole

J: Sam Weatherley

T: Cody Cole

92---5%20/1
7
Super Photon silk
7

Super Photon

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Craig Grylls

T: Stephen Marsh

82---25%3/1
8
Pericles silk
8

Pericles

Jockey: Niranjan Parmar

Trainer: Pam Gerard

J: Niranjan Parmar

T: Pam Gerard

85---5%20/1
9
Vegas Queen silk
9

Vegas Queen

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Kenny Rae

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Kenny Rae

76---12%15/2

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.