GB - Newcastle - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

16.9f

Maiden Hurdle

Turf

Good to Soft (Good in places)

13.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MADAME LA PAPILLON hasn't stood much racing but shaped with plenty of encouragement when runner-up on hurdles debut at Wetherby and she could be the one to beat if arriving in similar form. Improving Is This For Real is a likely danger, while Alba Crus travelled well last time and may do better back down in trip. Of the rest, course bumper winner Freddie Steady Go warrants a market check on hurdles bow.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Comfortable winner on bumper debut for Laura Morgan in spring 2024 but has stood little racing since. Off 9 months prior to promising hurdle/stable debut, second in 14-runner novice hurdle at Wetherby (2m), no match for fairly useful winner. Leading contender if arriving in similar form. 1st Pick 10 Madame La Papillon Jockey: Alice Stevens Trainer: Claire Dyson J: Alice Stevens T: Claire Dyson	100	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Comfortable winner on bumper debut for Laura Morgan in spring 2024 but has stood little racing since. Off 9 months prior to promising hurdle/stable debut, second in 14-runner novice hurdle at Wetherby (2m), no match for fairly useful winner. Leading contender if arriving in similar form.
4	£80,000 point winner who landed bumper at Kelso in March. Has shaped with promise both runs over hurdles, bad mistake last when fourth of 14 in novice at Taunton (16.5f, good) 35 days ago. Open to improvement. 2nd Pick 4 Is This For Real (Ire) Jockey: Liam Harrison Trainer: Fergal O'brien J: Liam Harrison T: Fergal O'brien	100	-	-	-	23%
Analysis £80,000 point winner who landed bumper at Kelso in March. Has shaped with promise both runs over hurdles, bad mistake last when fourth of 14 in novice at Taunton (16.5f, good) 35 days ago. Open to improvement.
1	Fair Newton Abbot bumper winner in June. Showed benefit of hurdling debut/a wind op when third of 9 in novice hurdle at Catterick (19.3f, good) 30 days ago, smooth headway home turn but no extra run-in. Drop back to 2m no issue and has claims if building on latest run. 3rd Pick 1 Alba Crus (Ire) Jockey: James Bowen Trainer: Warren Greatrex J: James Bowen T: Warren Greatrex	95	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Fair Newton Abbot bumper winner in June. Showed benefit of hurdling debut/a wind op when third of 9 in novice hurdle at Catterick (19.3f, good) 30 days ago, smooth headway home turn but no extra run-in. Drop back to 2m no issue and has claims if building on latest run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.