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2:08 AM

NZ - Awapuni - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Unknown
Synthetic
10.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MERCHANT BANKER (3) was ordinary fresh up but is far better than that showed. Has been course placed. Drawn wide but he can cope. Can win this. JUST A DROP (4) has also drawn wide in this. Placed in both of her course runs. Quinella and trifecta must in this field. SAY I DO (5) has been average so far for a new yard this time in. She has drawn the ace here and is not entirely out of this. SUNSHINE ALE (7) ran a good third fresh up albeit distant. The filly has some upside so cannot be omitted. SAM'S TURN (6) is a three-year-old gelding (Turn Me Loose - Damesel) on debut. He has had six trials for a win, a third and three fourths. Drawn to be a chance here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Merchant Banker silk

First-up after six months 9th of 11 at Hawera on May 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 12 len behind War Queen carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 14 over 5f, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Jetalal with 119lbs at $7. Better than he showed fresh up. Course placed. Can win this.

1st Pick
3

Merchant Banker

Jockey: Jim Chung

Trainer: Gavin Sharrock

J: Jim Chung

T: Gavin Sharrock

108---25%3/1

Analysis

First-up after six months 9th of 11 at Hawera on May 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 12 len behind War Queen carrying 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at New Plymouth Raceway on September 14 over 5f, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Jetalal with 119lbs at $7. Better than he showed fresh up. Course placed. Can win this.

4
Just A Drop silk

Last start 5th of 10 at Otaki on June 20 over 6f, on a wet track, 9 len behind Tolstoy carrying 125lbs at $18.80. Before that 3rd of 8 at this track on June 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Exaggeration carrying 125lbs at $8.30. Placed in both his runs here. She has drawn wide. Quinella and trifecta must still.

2nd Pick
4

Just A Drop

Jockey: Ashvin Mudhoo

Trainer: Peter Fitzgerald

J: Ashvin Mudhoo

T: Peter Fitzgerald

113---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 5th of 10 at Otaki on June 20 over 6f, on a wet track, 9 len behind Tolstoy carrying 125lbs at $18.80. Before that 3rd of 8 at this track on June 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Exaggeration carrying 125lbs at $8.30. Placed in both his runs here. She has drawn wide. Quinella and trifecta must still.

5
Say I Do silk

Last start eased back early on 6th of 9 at this track on June 22 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Bodacious Kate with 125lbs at $18.50. Before that faded in the straight 7th of 9 at this track on June 8 over 7f, 11 len behind Colonel Warden with 119lbs at $10.30. Modest so far this time in for a new yard. Drawn the ace. Not the worst.

3rd Pick
5

Say I Do

Jockey: Leah Hemi

Trainer: Patrick Campbell

J: Leah Hemi

T: Patrick Campbell

85---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start eased back early on 6th of 9 at this track on June 22 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Bodacious Kate with 125lbs at $18.50. Before that faded in the straight 7th of 9 at this track on June 8 over 7f, 11 len behind Colonel Warden with 119lbs at $10.30. Modest so far this time in for a new yard. Drawn the ace. Not the worst.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.