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4:53 AM

AU2 - Riverina Paceway - Race 5

Harness
8 Runners
8.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BUBBY TO BASE (6) comes through the Breeders Crown series where she was midfield in the G2 final for three-year-old fillies last week at Melton. Went into that series off a Kilmore win and a close second at Cobram so looks well placed. GOTTA HAV ME (8) has come from similar barriers to this to finish top-three in her last three outings here, winning two back and missing by just a nose last week. Lightly raced with plenty of upside. Big chance. ISLAND BOUHINIA (7) has to come into calculations on the back of some consistent form, most recently when third from the back line at Young. CHANGEOVER GIRL (1) has been solid in two starts since a spell, placing at big odds from a wide barrier here last week. Player from the inside draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Bubby To Base silk

Last start 6th (Sr3) over 1m at Melton was 7th-13.07 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Kiss (2:39.40) in 3yo G2 No NR F on November 16 at $151. Before that, was well back in the run when 4th (Fr6) over 1m at Melton, at the bell was 6th-9.98 beaten 18 m by Eureka Jo (2:43.80) in 3yo No NR F on November 8 at $41. Has the ability to play a major role.

1st Pick
6

Bubby To Base

Jockey: Zac Phillips

Trainer: Tayla Nicholson

J: Zac Phillips

T: Tayla Nicholson

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Last start 6th (Sr3) over 1m at Melton was 7th-13.07 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Kiss (2:39.40) in 3yo G2 No NR F on November 16 at $151. Before that, was well back in the run when 4th (Fr6) over 1m at Melton, at the bell was 6th-9.98 beaten 18 m by Eureka Jo (2:43.80) in 3yo No NR F on November 8 at $41. Has the ability to play a major role.

8
Gotta Hav Me silk

Last start game effort when 2nd (Fr8) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at this track beaten a nose by Mr Bondi (2:01.20) in NR up to 53 on November 15 at $3.60. Two runs back tracked on the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 m (Fr7) at this track (2:02.70) beating Shoobees Charm in NR up to 55 M on October 11 at $3.60 at the bell was 3rd-6.1m 2WNC. Has the ability to take this out.

2nd Pick
8

Gotta Hav Me

Jockey: Abby Sanderson

Trainer: Shane Sanderson

J: Abby Sanderson

T: Shane Sanderson

75---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start game effort when 2nd (Fr8) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at this track beaten a nose by Mr Bondi (2:01.20) in NR up to 53 on November 15 at $3.60. Two runs back tracked on the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 m (Fr7) at this track (2:02.70) beating Shoobees Charm in NR up to 55 M on October 11 at $3.60 at the bell was 3rd-6.1m 2WNC. Has the ability to take this out.

7
Island Bouhinia silk

Two back was well beaten into fourth after showing early speed, behind Here Comes Bobby at Leeton over 1 ¹/16m in a 4yo+ NR up to 66 on November 3 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Yering Soho at Young over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 57 M on November 8 at $5.50. Plenty to like about her prospects.

3rd Pick
7

Island Bouhinia

Jockey: J C Locke

Trainer: Jackson Painting

J: J C Locke

T: Jackson Painting

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into fourth after showing early speed, behind Here Comes Bobby at Leeton over 1 ¹/16m in a 4yo+ NR up to 66 on November 3 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Yering Soho at Young over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 57 M on November 8 at $5.50. Plenty to like about her prospects.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

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