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4:37 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 4

Harness
7 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HOT AND TREACHEROUS (5) is on a quick back-up off a 5.2m fourth in a strong line-up here on Saturday night. Galloped out but recovered for third when attempting a standing start prior. If he steps away cleanly he'll be hard to stop. FREE THINKER (6) has been producing some decent efforts of late including a second three back. Won the Redcliffe Cup from a standing start over the winter so his best form measures right up. BETTERTHAN POPSY (4) is in the mix after finishing runner-up here last time out. MIRACLE MOOSE (7) starts from the mark but must be included on the back of some solid recent form, most recently when third at this venue.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Hot And Treacherous silk

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track, beaten 5 m by Wisper A Secret (1:54.90) in No NR on September 13 at $11. Before that, a game effort when 3rd ( Fr4) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 4.5 m by Tims A Trooper (2:36.20) in No NR on September 2 at $3.20. Well placed.

1st Pick
5

Hot And Treacherous

Jockey: Layne Dwyer

Trainer: John Livingstone

J: Layne Dwyer

T: John Livingstone

77---50%1/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track, beaten 5 m by Wisper A Secret (1:54.90) in No NR on September 13 at $11. Before that, a game effort when 3rd ( Fr4) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 4.5 m by Tims A Trooper (2:36.20) in No NR on September 2 at $3.20. Well placed.

6
Free Thinker silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 5th ( Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 8 m by Tims A Trooper (2:36.20) in No NR on September 2 at $11. The start before 6th ( Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 14 m by Iron Clad (2:35.10) in No NR on August 26 at $3.20. Major player.

2nd Pick
6

Free Thinker

Jockey: Grant Dixon

Trainer: Grant Dixon

J: Grant Dixon

T: Grant Dixon

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 5th ( Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 8 m by Tims A Trooper (2:36.20) in No NR on September 2 at $11. The start before 6th ( Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 14 m by Iron Clad (2:35.10) in No NR on August 26 at $3.20. Major player.

4
Betterthan Popsy silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 m at this track beaten 1.5 m by Cardlesfromheaven (1:57.80) in B 5 No NR on September 6 at $4.20. Another bold showing expected.

3rd Pick
4

Betterthan Popsy

Jockey: Mathew Neilson

Trainer: Grant Dixon

J: Mathew Neilson

T: Grant Dixon

73---15%6/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 m at this track beaten 1.5 m by Cardlesfromheaven (1:57.80) in B 5 No NR on September 6 at $4.20. Another bold showing expected.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.