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3:46 AM

AU1 - Melton - Race 5

Harness
11 Runners
11.1f
Unknown
Synthetic
GOOD
4.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MOMENTUM SHIFT (1) has been racing well since a Shepparton win last month, last week coming from wider but boxing on well to place. Should get his chance from the ace draw. FIRE MARSHALL (5) has had two months off since tackling the Vicbred Super Series where his best result was a fourth in the heats. Kept up to the mark with a trial since and is much better placed in this company. MONTANA PRIDE (11) continued a strong run of form when taking advantage of the ace draw to lead and score by 2.3 metres last week at Geelong. Tougher draw here but has put together three wins and two placings from his last five outings and has won two of three attempts at this circuit and distance. LAMBRO MACH (7) must be respected after back-to-back wins, one at this circuit and distance when off a similar barrier. HANDLER (8) drew on this row and worked but toughed out a last-start win at this venue. Respect.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Fire Marshall silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 10th (Fr3) over 1m at this track, beaten 11 m by Its Confidential (2:36.90) in 3yo G2 No NR CG on November 22 at $151. The run prior 6th (Sr2) over 1m at this track was 6th-7.9m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 10 m by New Shuffle (2:39.70) in 3yo No NR CG on November 15 at $101. Expecting a spike in form this time.

1st Pick
5

Fire Marshall

Jockey: Kyle Marshall

Trainer: Kyle Marshall

J: Kyle Marshall

T: Kyle Marshall

75---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 10th (Fr3) over 1m at this track, beaten 11 m by Its Confidential (2:36.90) in 3yo G2 No NR CG on November 22 at $151. The run prior 6th (Sr2) over 1m at this track was 6th-7.9m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 10 m by New Shuffle (2:39.70) in 3yo No NR CG on November 15 at $101. Expecting a spike in form this time.

11
Montana Pride silk

In good form recently. Last start won by 2.25 m after showing early speed, (Fr1) at Geelong (1:56.50) beating My Little Bo in NR 56 to 64 on January 16 at $4.60 at the bell was leading 0.41. Big chance to score again.

2nd Pick
11

Montana Pride

Jockey: Ewa Justice

Trainer: Ashleigh Herbertson

J: Ewa Justice

T: Ashleigh Herbertson

76---19%9/2

Analysis

In good form recently. Last start won by 2.25 m after showing early speed, (Fr1) at Geelong (1:56.50) beating My Little Bo in NR 56 to 64 on January 16 at $4.60 at the bell was leading 0.41. Big chance to score again.

8
Handler silk

Last start won by 1.2 m as favourite (Sr2) at this track (2:03.00) beating Ooh Ah Listah in NR 52 to 56 on January 2 at $2.80. Has another win on the radar.

3rd Pick
8

Handler

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Rob O'connell

J: Non Runner

T: Rob O'connell

72---10%

Scratched

Analysis

Last start won by 1.2 m as favourite (Sr2) at this track (2:03.00) beating Ooh Ah Listah in NR 52 to 56 on January 2 at $2.80. Has another win on the radar.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race