AU1 - Globe Derby Park - Race 2

Harness

5 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

5.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HILLTOP BLOSSOM (1) finished fourth last start at Group Two level in a race won by Arrhythmia over 1 ?m at Melton, beaten 10 metres. Drawn well so a win is on the cards. MEZZANOTTI (5) won at St Arnaud two runs ago before a less impressive effort at her latest appearance over 1 ?m at Horsham, beaten 8 metres. Meets some better types this time but she has the ability to test this field. ELLA KATE (2) is on the radar after her last-start fourth over 1m at Port Pirie four weeks ago. GOTTA GO ROSE (3) lines up for the first time. By Gotta Go Cullect and hails from the F Pullicino stable. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Finds a nice race so anticipating a bright start to her career.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start surrendered the lead and finished 4th (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at Melton, at the bell was 3rd-6.19 beaten 10 m by Arrhythmia (2:39.30) in 2yo G2 No NR F on November 22 at $13. Before that, surrendered the lead and finished 4th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed at Melton, at the bell was 6th-7.5 beaten 12 m by Arrhythmia (2:41.30) in 2yo No NR F on November 15 at $13. Expected to be in the finish again. 1st Pick 1 Hilltop Blossom Jockey: Wayne Hill Trainer: Emma Stewart J: Wayne Hill T: Emma Stewart	77	-	-	-	84%	1/5
Analysis Last start surrendered the lead and finished 4th (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at Melton, at the bell was 3rd-6.19 beaten 10 m by Arrhythmia (2:39.30) in 2yo G2 No NR F on November 22 at $13. Before that, surrendered the lead and finished 4th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed at Melton, at the bell was 6th-7.5 beaten 12 m by Arrhythmia (2:41.30) in 2yo No NR F on November 15 at $13. Expected to be in the finish again.
5	Failed to impress last start, was well back in the run when 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Horsham was 2nd-2 at the bell, beaten 8 m by Zanda Man (2:43.90) in 0-1 WIN on November 24 at $1.90. Showed ability the race before when she tracked on the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 3.5 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr5) at St Arnaud (2:08.50) beating Jilliby Utah in MAIDEN on November 9 at $1.80 at the bell was 2nd-2.8. Ready to make amends. 2nd Pick 5 Mezzanotti Jockey: Luke Dunne Trainer: S M Mcnaulty, J M Mcnaulty J: Luke Dunne T: S M Mcnaulty, J M Mcnaulty	75	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Failed to impress last start, was well back in the run when 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Horsham was 2nd-2 at the bell, beaten 8 m by Zanda Man (2:43.90) in 0-1 WIN on November 24 at $1.90. Showed ability the race before when she tracked on the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 3.5 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr5) at St Arnaud (2:08.50) beating Jilliby Utah in MAIDEN on November 9 at $1.80 at the bell was 2nd-2.8. Ready to make amends.
2	Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1m at Port Pirie, at the bell was 4th-8 beaten 7 m by Dashing Cowboy (1:59.50) in 2 LIFETIME WINS on November 11 at $11. Two runs back 7th (Fr2) over 1m after showing early speed at Port Pirie, beaten 30 m by Don Capitano (1:58.70) in 2yo+ 2 LIFETIME WINS on October 28 at $13. Unlikely to threaten in this tougher assignment. 3rd Pick 2 Ella Kate Jockey: Dale Afford Trainer: Dale Afford J: Dale Afford T: Dale Afford	58	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1m at Port Pirie, at the bell was 4th-8 beaten 7 m by Dashing Cowboy (1:59.50) in 2 LIFETIME WINS on November 11 at $11. Two runs back 7th (Fr2) over 1m after showing early speed at Port Pirie, beaten 30 m by Don Capitano (1:58.70) in 2yo+ 2 LIFETIME WINS on October 28 at $13. Unlikely to threaten in this tougher assignment.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.