AU1 - Charlton - Race 6

Harness

11 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

3.9K

VIEW

Verdict

SONORA SUNSET (1) has begun her career in a promising manner with five minor placings from five starts. Was second at Bendigo two runs back then performed impressively last start, making up plenty of ground but finding one better over 1 m at Bendigo. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Meets a similar lineup and she can figure in the finish. HARBOUR SPRINGS (3) finished sixth last start, beaten 13 metres at Terang over 1 m. Expect her to pose a serious challenge. SHE IS LOVELY (6) was responsible for a better effort last time out when runner-up over 1 5/16m at Echuca. Should run a big race. RALTED (2) resumes. Last appeared when a modest seventh over 1 m at Shepparton seven months ago. Each-way claims from a good draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Two back was well beaten into second after showing early speed, behind Ideal Bandit at Bendigo over 1 m in a 3yo+ MAIDEN on June 25 at $17. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Calivil at Bendigo over 1 m in a MAIDEN on July 2 at $14. Draws the pegs and can break through this time. 1st Pick 1 Sonora Sunset Jockey: Alex Ashwood Trainer: Alex Ashwood J: Alex Ashwood T: Alex Ashwood	77	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Two back was well beaten into second after showing early speed, behind Ideal Bandit at Bendigo over 1 m in a 3yo+ MAIDEN on June 25 at $17. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Calivil at Bendigo over 1 m in a MAIDEN on July 2 at $14. Draws the pegs and can break through this time.
3	Resumed when beaten 13 m sixth behind Jilliby Amigo at Terang over 1 m in a MAIDEN on June 25. Expect to see the best from her now. 2nd Pick 3 Harbour Springs Jockey: Matthew Craven Trainer: Matthew Craven J: Matthew Craven T: Matthew Craven	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resumed when beaten 13 m sixth behind Jilliby Amigo at Terang over 1 m in a MAIDEN on June 25. Expect to see the best from her now.
6	Two back was well beaten into fifth behind Joeys Hangover at Shepparton over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 38 on May 27 at $19. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Loyola Spiaggia at Echuca over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on June 10 at $13. With even luck is a winning chance. 3rd Pick 6 She Is Lovely Jockey: James Herbertson Trainer: K M Watson J: James Herbertson T: K M Watson	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Two back was well beaten into fifth behind Joeys Hangover at Shepparton over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 38 on May 27 at $19. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Loyola Spiaggia at Echuca over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on June 10 at $13. With even luck is a winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.