AU1 - Tamworth - Race 7

Harness

10 Runners

9.8f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.5K

VIEW

Verdict

HE SAID SHE SAID (4) came from the back row to win at this circuit and distance last month and hasn't been far away from the placegetters since, finishing fourth in a higher-graded race last time. This looks a more suitable assignment. PARATROUPER (5) turned in a good effort last time out, coming from the back row and finishing second at this venue. Returns to the front row and can be a major force again. TRALEE SNICKAS (6) was checked and broke at Newcastle last start but took his strike rate at this circuit and distance to 50 per cent when he overcome a back row draw to win easily here prior. CHEDDAR VALLEY (7) has won two of his last five starts at Newcastle. Draws for a trail and could be dangerous if he get the gaps.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m after showing early speed at this track, beaten 25 m by Ashleys Blue Chip (2:21.80) in NR up to 75 on October 30 at $23. Before that, 5th (Sr3) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 5th-15.8 beaten 17 m by Four Feathers (1:56.00) in NR up to 53 on October 16 at $19. Rates highly. Big chance. 1st Pick 4 He Said She Said Jockey: Grace Panella Trainer: Brendan James J: Grace Panella T: Brendan James	77	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m after showing early speed at this track, beaten 25 m by Ashleys Blue Chip (2:21.80) in NR up to 75 on October 30 at $23. Before that, 5th (Sr3) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 5th-15.8 beaten 17 m by Four Feathers (1:56.00) in NR up to 53 on October 16 at $19. Rates highly. Big chance.
5	Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Allsopp at this track over 1m in a NR up to 65 on October 16 at $71. Then a handy effort when beaten by 5 m finishing second behind Carramar Olam at this track over 1m in a NR up to 57 on October 30 at $8.50. Genuine contender in this suitable contest. 2nd Pick 5 Paratrouper Jockey: Mollly Ison Trainer: Jamie Donovan J: Mollly Ison T: Jamie Donovan	76	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Allsopp at this track over 1m in a NR up to 65 on October 16 at $71. Then a handy effort when beaten by 5 m finishing second behind Carramar Olam at this track over 1m in a NR up to 57 on October 30 at $8.50. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.
6	Failed to impress last start, 9th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle was 4th-6.2 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Rumour Stride (1:54.20) in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $8.50. Showed ability the outing before when he posted a big 10 m win as favourite (Sr4) at this track (2:26.10) beating Bettathanmozarella in NR up to 47 on October 30 at $2.40 at the bell was leading 4.4. Big run expected. 3rd Pick 6 Tralee Snickas Jockey: Cooper Griffiths Trainer: Ian Mabbott J: Cooper Griffiths T: Ian Mabbott	75	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Failed to impress last start, 9th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle was 4th-6.2 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Rumour Stride (1:54.20) in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $8.50. Showed ability the outing before when he posted a big 10 m win as favourite (Sr4) at this track (2:26.10) beating Bettathanmozarella in NR up to 47 on October 30 at $2.40 at the bell was leading 4.4. Big run expected.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.