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4:21 AM

AU1 - Goulburn - Race 5

Harness
10 Runners
8.5f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DREAM TO DANCE (5) was responsible for a far better performance last time out, finishing second over 1m at Newcastle. Must raise the bar but another big run is on the cards. PRINCE LOUIE (3) ran fifth last start at Bathurst over 1 ¹/16m, beaten 7 metres. Expected to run well. ROCKETON (1) is worth another chance after a last-start eighth over 1 5/16m at Penrith two-and-a-half weeks ago. JUST ROCKNROLL (6) is the best of the rest after finishing fourth over 1 ¹/16m at this track last time out. Include in all combinations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Dream To Dance silk

Two back was well beaten into tenth after being driven well back, behind Knight Walker at Menangle over 1m in a 0LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR 45 on October 29 at $41. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Jacks Up at Newcastle over 1m in a NR 35 to 39 on November 18 at $4.40. Rates highly. Winning prospects.

1st Pick
5

Dream To Dance

Jockey: Joshua Gallagher

Trainer: K A Towers

J: Joshua Gallagher

T: K A Towers

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into tenth after being driven well back, behind Knight Walker at Menangle over 1m in a 0LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR 45 on October 29 at $41. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Jacks Up at Newcastle over 1m in a NR 35 to 39 on November 18 at $4.40. Rates highly. Winning prospects.

3
Prince Louie silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Bathurst was leading by 4.17 at the bell, beaten 7 m by Road To Recovery (2:04.40) in NR up to 45 on November 20 at $3.50. The run previous 7th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m after being wide early at Penrith, beaten 22 m by Hot Cruise Control (2:05.40) in NR 45 to 49 on November 11 at $6. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out.

2nd Pick
3

Prince Louie

Jockey: Lleyton Green

Trainer: D A Mcdowell, K L Mcdowell

J: Lleyton Green

T: D A Mcdowell, K L Mcdowell

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Bathurst was leading by 4.17 at the bell, beaten 7 m by Road To Recovery (2:04.40) in NR up to 45 on November 20 at $3.50. The run previous 7th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m after being wide early at Penrith, beaten 22 m by Hot Cruise Control (2:05.40) in NR 45 to 49 on November 11 at $6. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out.

1
Rocketon silk

Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Royal Vincent at Penrith over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 47 on November 7 at $51. Performed better the start before where he posted a big 3 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr1) at Penrith (2:05.70) beating Weeneeddreams in NR 35 to 38 on October 28 at $3 at the bell was leading.5 on the pegs. Winning chance on best form.

3rd Pick
1

Rocketon

Jockey: Sebastian Piltz

Trainer: J M Micallef

J: Sebastian Piltz

T: J M Micallef

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Royal Vincent at Penrith over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 47 on November 7 at $51. Performed better the start before where he posted a big 3 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr1) at Penrith (2:05.70) beating Weeneeddreams in NR 35 to 38 on October 28 at $3 at the bell was leading.5 on the pegs. Winning chance on best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.