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4:51 AM

AU1 - Tamworth - Race 5

Harness
10 Runners
9.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LACHIES GAMBLE (5) should be close to peak fitness third-up. Came from the back row for a resuming second at this circuit before racing parked when fourth last start at Newcastle. Looks ready to strike. TIGERMAC (10) has won two of his last three outings at this circuit and distance, both of them from this row. Did some work but was too tough last time. Rises in grade but he is going well. A win looks imminent for JOE BY THE SEASIDE (8) who has placed in his last three outings, two of them from this row. ONETANGI GIRL (3) hasn't raced since August but was readied with two trials. Won her lone attempt at this circuit and distance and has drawn to advantage.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Lachies Gamble silk

Last start 4th (Fr5) over 1m after racing wide at Newcastle, at the bell was 2nd-0.85 beaten 8 m by Rumour Stride (1:54.20) in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $3.10. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Sr3) over 1 ³/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-12.6 beaten 3.5 m by Tigermac (2:27.20) in NR up to 47 on October 30 at $7. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

1st Pick
5

Lachies Gamble

Jockey: Grace Panella

Trainer: Dwayne Brown

J: Grace Panella

T: Dwayne Brown

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr5) over 1m after racing wide at Newcastle, at the bell was 2nd-0.85 beaten 8 m by Rumour Stride (1:54.20) in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $3.10. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Sr3) over 1 ³/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-12.6 beaten 3.5 m by Tigermac (2:27.20) in NR up to 47 on October 30 at $7. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

10
Tigermac silk

Last start won just off the speed and boxed on, posted a big 3.5 m win as favourite (Sr2) at this track (2:27.20) beating Lachies Gamble in NR up to 47 on October 30 at $3 at the bell was 2nd-2.6. Going well enough to take care of these.

2nd Pick
10

Tigermac

Jockey: Blake Hughes

Trainer: Anthony Missen

J: Blake Hughes

T: Anthony Missen

76---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start won just off the speed and boxed on, posted a big 3.5 m win as favourite (Sr2) at this track (2:27.20) beating Lachies Gamble in NR up to 47 on October 30 at $3 at the bell was 2nd-2.6. Going well enough to take care of these.

8
Joe By The Seaside silk

Two back was well beaten into third behind Artful Prince at this track over 1m in a NR 45 to 48 on October 16 at $10. Then a handy effort when a close second after showing early speed, behind Bettathanmozarella at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in a NR up to 48 on November 7 at $6. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

3rd Pick
8

Joe By The Seaside

Jockey: Anthony Varga

Trainer: Ian Mabbott

J: Anthony Varga

T: Ian Mabbott

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into third behind Artful Prince at this track over 1m in a NR 45 to 48 on October 16 at $10. Then a handy effort when a close second after showing early speed, behind Bettathanmozarella at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in a NR up to 48 on November 7 at $6. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.