AU1 - Charlton - Race 3

Harness

9 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

2.6K

VIEW

Verdict

NOTHING SWEETER (5) drew wide last start and was easily accounted for, beaten 10 metres into eighth at Melton over 1 ¹/16m. Meets a similar lineup and from a far better starting position, she can play a major role. FAIR CHANCE (4) drew wide last start and was easily accounted for, beaten 6 metres into fifth at Maryborough over 1 m. Leading hope from this favourable draw if things fall her way. NEVS DREAM (6) is on the radar after her last-start fourth over 1 5/16m at Shepparton two weeks ago. DANCIN WITH ELVIS (9) is the next elect off a last-start win by a neck at Terang over 1 m. Each way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 8th (Sr5) over 1 ¹/16m at Melton, beaten 10 m by Yankee Gambler (2:04.40) in NR 37 to 42 on July 4 at $23. The run before 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Melton beaten 13 m by Bringsusjoy (2:05.10) in NR up to 55 M on June 20 at $3.10. Great chance to bounce back. 1st Pick 5 Nothing Sweeter Jockey: James Herbertson Trainer: Nathan Cahir J: James Herbertson T: Nathan Cahir	77	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 8th (Sr5) over 1 ¹/16m at Melton, beaten 10 m by Yankee Gambler (2:04.40) in NR 37 to 42 on July 4 at $23. The run before 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Melton beaten 13 m by Bringsusjoy (2:05.10) in NR up to 55 M on June 20 at $3.10. Great chance to bounce back.
4	Last start 5th (Sr3) over 1 m at Maryborough was 6th-10.6 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Lollipop (2:06.80) in NR up to 37 on June 18 at $3.70. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Mildura, at the bell was 4th-6.8 beaten 11 m by Adieu Mikennis (2:13.60) in NR up to 49 on June 6 at $16. Strong contender. 2nd Pick 4 Fair Chance Jockey: Luke Dunne Trainer: L A Fanning J: Luke Dunne T: L A Fanning	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 5th (Sr3) over 1 m at Maryborough was 6th-10.6 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Lollipop (2:06.80) in NR up to 37 on June 18 at $3.70. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Mildura, at the bell was 4th-6.8 beaten 11 m by Adieu Mikennis (2:13.60) in NR up to 49 on June 6 at $16. Strong contender.
6	Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m at Shepparton beaten 1.75 m by Mynameisruby (2:45.20) in NR 37 to 42 on June 24 at $6.50. Before that, 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Bendigo, at the bell was 7th-14.05 beaten 9 m by Fulloffight (2:42.20) in NR 38 to 43 on June 18 at $26. Watch for a spike in form. 3rd Pick 6 Nevs Dream Jockey: Ellen Tormey Trainer: K M Watson J: Ellen Tormey T: K M Watson	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m at Shepparton beaten 1.75 m by Mynameisruby (2:45.20) in NR 37 to 42 on June 24 at $6.50. Before that, 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Bendigo, at the bell was 7th-14.05 beaten 9 m by Fulloffight (2:42.20) in NR 38 to 43 on June 18 at $26. Watch for a spike in form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.