AU1 - Goulburn - Race 8

Harness

10 Runners

11.1f

Unknown

Synthetic

6.5K

VIEW

Verdict

PERFECT STRANGER (3) is a progressive gelding who was good when third in a higher-graded race at Menangle last start, beaten 3.5 metres. Has had nearly a month off since but kicked off this campaign with back-to-back Wagga wins so goes well fresh. Leading hope. CINEMATIC (4) wasn't too far away when tackling stronger company at Wagga last time out. Had consistent form earlier in the campaign. Contender in this suitable assignment. THE DEVILS FLAME (2) has been consistent since he came from the back row to win at Penrith, finishing runner-up from this barrier last start. Go well again. SKY CITY (5) can feature again after winning his fist visit to this venue last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Two back was well beaten into ninth behind Go Miki at Menangle over 1m in a 3yo No NR on August 2 at $4. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third behind Tuapeka Lou at Menangle over 1m in a NR up to 60 on August 18 at $4.80. Big run expected. 1st Pick 3 Perfect Stranger Jockey: Bailey Mcdonough Trainer: Dean Atkinson J: Bailey Mcdonough T: Dean Atkinson	77	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Two back was well beaten into ninth behind Go Miki at Menangle over 1m in a 3yo No NR on August 2 at $4. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third behind Tuapeka Lou at Menangle over 1m in a NR up to 60 on August 18 at $4.80. Big run expected.
4	Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m at Riverina Paceway was 3rd-4.2 at the bell, beaten 5.5 m by Play It Cool (2:05.00) in NR up to 62 on September 5 at $11. The run previous 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Riverina Paceway was leading by 1.3m 3WNC at the bell, beaten 10 m by Treacherous Belle (2:03.40) in NR up to 58 on August 1 at $2.40. Finds a nice race to rediscover her best form. 2nd Pick 4 Cinematic Jockey: Brad Hewitt Trainer: David Hewitt J: Brad Hewitt T: David Hewitt	74	-	-	-	19%	Scratched
Analysis Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m at Riverina Paceway was 3rd-4.2 at the bell, beaten 5.5 m by Play It Cool (2:05.00) in NR up to 62 on September 5 at $11. The run previous 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Riverina Paceway was leading by 1.3m 3WNC at the bell, beaten 10 m by Treacherous Belle (2:03.40) in NR up to 58 on August 1 at $2.40. Finds a nice race to rediscover her best form.
2	Fair run when beaten by 3.5 m finishing second behind Bara Riley at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 52 on August 28 at $11. Then a handy effort when beaten by 5 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind For Always Arden at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 53 on September 4 at $9. Has the ability to take this out. 3rd Pick 2 The Devils Flame Jockey: Michael Stanley Trainer: Ian Stanley J: Michael Stanley T: Ian Stanley	72	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Fair run when beaten by 3.5 m finishing second behind Bara Riley at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 52 on August 28 at $11. Then a handy effort when beaten by 5 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind For Always Arden at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a NR up to 53 on September 4 at $9. Has the ability to take this out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.