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4:33 AM

AU1 - Albion Park - Race 4

Harness
12 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LAYDOWNLUNA (10) made it two wins from two starts this time in work when she scored by 4 metres last start despite breaking in the run over 1 5/16m at this track. Needs to get it right to beat this field but she is up to the challenge. WHIRLWIND WILBUR (11) could only manage to finish fifth at his latest appearance over 1 ?m at Marburg, failing to live up to market expectations. Form prior to that was a better guide to his ability, including a victory over 1 5/16m here two starts ago. Primary contender if anywhere near his best. OURPETABILT (5) followed a first-up win two runs back with a distant seventh when she broke in a 1 ?m event at Marburg. Only needs to get things right to be in the money. NATTY PAGGER (9) is in the mix following a respectable second at his most recent appearance over 1 ?m at Marburg. Makes some appeal.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Laydownluna silk

Three-year-old filly is racing in fine form. Won her last two outings at this track both over 1 5/16m. Last start posted a big 4 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (2:40.10) beating Aspiring Victree in 3yo No NR on August 26 at $1.95 at the bell was leading 4.8m on the pegs. One of the primary contenders.

1st Pick
10

Laydownluna

Jockey: Angus Garrard

Trainer: Matt Crone

J: Angus Garrard

T: Matt Crone

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Three-year-old filly is racing in fine form. Won her last two outings at this track both over 1 5/16m. Last start posted a big 4 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (2:40.10) beating Aspiring Victree in 3yo No NR on August 26 at $1.95 at the bell was leading 4.8m on the pegs. One of the primary contenders.

11
Whirlwind Wilbur silk

Last start was fifth behind Crookwell Eyes at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ NR up to 55 on October 19 at $2.50. Raced better the start before that where he won by 3.5 m as favourite ( Fr1) at this track (2:42.50) beating Voltain in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on October 7 at $3.90. Capable of taking this out.

2nd Pick
11

Whirlwind Wilbur

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Tayla Gillespie

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Tayla Gillespie

74---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start was fifth behind Crookwell Eyes at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ NR up to 55 on October 19 at $2.50. Raced better the start before that where he won by 3.5 m as favourite ( Fr1) at this track (2:42.50) beating Voltain in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on October 7 at $3.90. Capable of taking this out.

5
Ourpetabilt silk

Backs up 4 days after failing to impress last start, 7th ( Fr2) over 1m at Marburg beaten 80 m by Gait With Grace (2:53.40) in 3yo+ No NR on October 19 at $5. Showed ability the outing before when she won by 2.5 m (FT Fr2) at this track (2:41.80) beating Manifest The Billi in 3yo+ NR up to 45 on September 18 at $5. Sure to be right there at the business end.

3rd Pick
5

Ourpetabilt

Jockey: Pete Mcmullen

Trainer: Stephen Cini

J: Pete Mcmullen

T: Stephen Cini

73---14%13/2

Analysis

Backs up 4 days after failing to impress last start, 7th ( Fr2) over 1m at Marburg beaten 80 m by Gait With Grace (2:53.40) in 3yo+ No NR on October 19 at $5. Showed ability the outing before when she won by 2.5 m (FT Fr2) at this track (2:41.80) beating Manifest The Billi in 3yo+ NR up to 45 on September 18 at $5. Sure to be right there at the business end.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.