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3:17 AM

AU1 - Albion Park - Race 2

Harness
11 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MAROON BELLS (6) great effort but just found one better last time out, beaten a head over 1 ?m at Marburg to build on her sound recent efforts. Leading hope based on recent form. DOWN SOUTH DAISY (10) is in good form with top-five finishes at her last eight starts, most recently recording a third over 1 ?m at Marburg. Meets a similar line up so she can play a significant role. CASCATA (11) finished tenth two runs ago then broke and finished a long last over 1 ?m at Marburg at the latest appearance. Won't find this any harder and she can bounce back if she behaves. MAJESTIC PARTY BOY (9) is worth some thought after his last-start sixth over 1 5/16m at this track on October 7. Top-three aspirations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Maroon Bells silk

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fourth behind Ahundredplus at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 45 on October 9 at $4.80. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Dollys Duke at Marburg over 1m in a MAIDEN on October 19 at $1.45. Continues to race well and expected to be in the finish.

1st Pick
6

Maroon Bells

Jockey: Tom Callaghan

Trainer: John Mcmullen

J: Tom Callaghan

T: John Mcmullen

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fourth behind Ahundredplus at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 45 on October 9 at $4.80. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Dollys Duke at Marburg over 1m in a MAIDEN on October 19 at $1.45. Continues to race well and expected to be in the finish.

10
Down South Daisy silk

Two back was third after being driven well back, behind Laydownluna at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo No NR on August 26 at $16. Then a handy effort when beaten by 9 m finishing third behind Gait With Grace at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ No NR on October 19 at $2.30. Racing well and she is right in this.

2nd Pick
10

Down South Daisy

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Tayla Gillespie

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Tayla Gillespie

76---29%5/2

Analysis

Two back was third after being driven well back, behind Laydownluna at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo No NR on August 26 at $16. Then a handy effort when beaten by 9 m finishing third behind Gait With Grace at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ No NR on October 19 at $2.30. Racing well and she is right in this.

11
Cascata silk

Backing up quickly after was driven from back in the field when 9th (Fr5) over 1m after racing wide at Marburg beaten 70 m by Illusory Feat (2:48.40) in 3yo+ NR up to 45 on October 19 at $3.40. The run previous 10th ( Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, well beaten by Ahundredplus (2:44.30) in 3yo+ NR up to 45 on October 9 at $2.50. Can make amends against this line-up.

3rd Pick
11

Cascata

Jockey: Gary Whitaker

Trainer: Graham Dwyer

J: Gary Whitaker

T: Graham Dwyer

74---16%11/2

Analysis

Backing up quickly after was driven from back in the field when 9th (Fr5) over 1m after racing wide at Marburg beaten 70 m by Illusory Feat (2:48.40) in 3yo+ NR up to 45 on October 19 at $3.40. The run previous 10th ( Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, well beaten by Ahundredplus (2:44.30) in 3yo+ NR up to 45 on October 9 at $2.50. Can make amends against this line-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

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A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).