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2:42 AM

AU1 - Albion Park - Race 1

Harness
6 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DARCYS FIREBALL (4) was out of the money two starts ago then things went wrong last start when he broke and finished a long last over 1 ?/16m at Marburg. This doesn't look as hard so he can bounce back if he brings his Mitch Manners. FENOMENAL (2) finished fifth last start, beaten 11 metres at this track over 1 5/16m. Expect him to be prominent from the low draw. TE RAPA (6) is heading the right way, improving last time out to finish second at Marburg over 1 ?/16m. Genuine threat. SON OF A SUN (5) is worth some thought after his last-start fifth over 1 m here on October 7. One for the multiples.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Darcys Fireball silk

Backing up quickly after 6th ( Fr3) over 1/16m at Marburg, well beaten by Hammer Son (3:17.20) in NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $1.70. The run previous 5th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 21 m by Hes Regal (2:36.10) in NR up to 40 on October 16 at $3.20. Has ability and can do much better.

1st Pick
4

Darcys Fireball

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Graham Dwyer

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Graham Dwyer

77---48%11/10

Analysis

Backing up quickly after 6th ( Fr3) over 1/16m at Marburg, well beaten by Hammer Son (3:17.20) in NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $1.70. The run previous 5th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 21 m by Hes Regal (2:36.10) in NR up to 40 on October 16 at $3.20. Has ability and can do much better.

2
Fenomenal silk

Last start 5th (?f Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 11 m by Daimyo (2:40.80) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 30 at $4.80. The start before 5th (?f Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 25 m by Good Heart (2:40.90) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 23 at $5.50. Has a low draw and should go well.

2nd Pick
2

Fenomenal

Jockey: Darren Mccall

Trainer: Darren Mccall

J: Darren Mccall

T: Darren Mccall

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 5th (?f Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 11 m by Daimyo (2:40.80) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 30 at $4.80. The start before 5th (?f Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 25 m by Good Heart (2:40.90) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on September 23 at $5.50. Has a low draw and should go well.

6
Te Rapa silk

Two back was tenth after being driven well back, behind Shez A Punter at this track over 1 m in a NR 41 to 46 on October 16 at $34. Then a handy effort when second behind Hammer Son at Marburg over 1/16m in a NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $9.50. One of the key runners.

3rd Pick
6

Te Rapa

Jockey: Gary Whitaker

Trainer: Graham Dwyer

J: Gary Whitaker

T: Graham Dwyer

74---20%4/1

Analysis

Two back was tenth after being driven well back, behind Shez A Punter at this track over 1 m in a NR 41 to 46 on October 16 at $34. Then a handy effort when second behind Hammer Son at Marburg over 1/16m in a NR 50 to 70 on October 19 at $9.50. One of the key runners.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).