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5:33 AM

AU1 - Charlton - Race 6

Harness
11 Runners
10.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SONORA SUNSET (1) has begun her career in a promising manner with five minor placings from five starts. Was second at Bendigo two runs back then performed impressively last start, making up plenty of ground but finding one better over 1 m at Bendigo. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Meets a similar lineup and she can figure in the finish. HARBOUR SPRINGS (3) finished sixth last start, beaten 13 metres at Terang over 1 m. Expect her to pose a serious challenge. SHE IS LOVELY (6) was responsible for a better effort last time out when runner-up over 1 5/16m at Echuca. Should run a big race. RALTED (2) resumes. Last appeared when a modest seventh over 1 m at Shepparton seven months ago. Each-way claims from a good draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Sonora Sunset silk

Two back was well beaten into second after showing early speed, behind Ideal Bandit at Bendigo over 1 m in a 3yo+ MAIDEN on June 25 at $17. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Calivil at Bendigo over 1 m in a MAIDEN on July 2 at $14. Draws the pegs and can break through this time.

1st Pick
1

Sonora Sunset

Jockey: Alex Ashwood

Trainer: Alex Ashwood

J: Alex Ashwood

T: Alex Ashwood

77---34%2/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into second after showing early speed, behind Ideal Bandit at Bendigo over 1 m in a 3yo+ MAIDEN on June 25 at $17. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Calivil at Bendigo over 1 m in a MAIDEN on July 2 at $14. Draws the pegs and can break through this time.

3
Harbour Springs silk

Resumed when beaten 13 m sixth behind Jilliby Amigo at Terang over 1 m in a MAIDEN on June 25. Expect to see the best from her now.

2nd Pick
3

Harbour Springs

Jockey: Matthew Craven

Trainer: Matthew Craven

J: Matthew Craven

T: Matthew Craven

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Resumed when beaten 13 m sixth behind Jilliby Amigo at Terang over 1 m in a MAIDEN on June 25. Expect to see the best from her now.

6
She Is Lovely silk

Two back was well beaten into fifth behind Joeys Hangover at Shepparton over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 38 on May 27 at $19. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Loyola Spiaggia at Echuca over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on June 10 at $13. With even luck is a winning chance.

3rd Pick
6

She Is Lovely

Jockey: James Herbertson

Trainer: K M Watson

J: James Herbertson

T: K M Watson

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into fifth behind Joeys Hangover at Shepparton over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 38 on May 27 at $19. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing second behind Loyola Spiaggia at Echuca over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on June 10 at $13. With even luck is a winning chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.