AU1 - Albion Park - Race 8

Harness

10 Runners

10.6f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ULTIMATE ARK (6) came from a similar draw to win here two back then drew on the back row and finished fourth last start at Redcliffe. Going well and this looks a suitable assignment. OUR ULTIMATE MILLY (9) came from this row and finished fifth last start at Redcliffe after a good win at this venue outing prior when she raced parked but proved too good. Has more upside than many of these. LENNY LINCOLN (10) could be close to a win after a 1.6m second from this row two back before a fourth in stronger company last week. HEZA MAYWYN (8) must be considered after he continued a run of top-four finishes with a third here last week.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1m at Redcliffe beaten 8 m by Mardibringsaparty (2:49.10) in 3yo No NR on December 10 at $7.50. Two runs back won by 2.5 m when driven back in the field, (Fr5) held up early, at this track (1:57.00) beating Fakistra in NR 45 to 49 on November 27 at $5.50. Strong claims. 1st Pick 6 Ultimate Ark Jockey: Grant Dixon Trainer: Grant Dixon J: Grant Dixon T: Grant Dixon	77	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1m at Redcliffe beaten 8 m by Mardibringsaparty (2:49.10) in 3yo No NR on December 10 at $7.50. Two runs back won by 2.5 m when driven back in the field, (Fr5) held up early, at this track (1:57.00) beating Fakistra in NR 45 to 49 on November 27 at $5.50. Strong claims.
9	Fair last start, 5th (Sr1) over 1m after racing wide at Redcliffe, beaten 18 m by Mardibringsaparty (2:49.10) in 3yo No NR on December 10 at $34. Showed ability the race before when she won by 4 m as favourite (Fr2) at this track (1:58.50) beating Lazena in Up to 1 LTW on November 27 at $1.35. Winning chance. 2nd Pick 9 Our Ultimate Milly Jockey: Jack Chapple Trainer: Grant Dixon J: Jack Chapple T: Grant Dixon	75	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Fair last start, 5th (Sr1) over 1m after racing wide at Redcliffe, beaten 18 m by Mardibringsaparty (2:49.10) in 3yo No NR on December 10 at $34. Showed ability the race before when she won by 4 m as favourite (Fr2) at this track (1:58.50) beating Lazena in Up to 1 LTW on November 27 at $1.35. Winning chance.
10	Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 7 m by Im Boo (1:56.80) in NR 50 to 56 on December 12 at $6.50. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 1.5 m by Im Boo (1:57.30) in NR 47 to 51 on December 4 at $3.60. Contender. 3rd Pick 10 Lenny Lincoln Jockey: Nathan Dawson Trainer: Graham Dwyer J: Nathan Dawson T: Graham Dwyer	75	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 7 m by Im Boo (1:56.80) in NR 50 to 56 on December 12 at $6.50. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 1.5 m by Im Boo (1:57.30) in NR 47 to 51 on December 4 at $3.60. Contender.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.