AU - Mount Barker - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

(4)

14.9K

VIEW

Verdict

KIA ORA TATOU (9) only battled fresh up at Ascot 11 days ago but he is very well placed in this with 9lbs less to carry against what is probably a softer option. A good draw should make him hard to beat at possibly some decent each-way value. THIS'LL SHOW YA (6) gave a good kick after leading up a strong field at Ascot just over 2 weeks ago and those front-running tactics are normally an advantage on this circuit. She will be hard to peg back again. BLUE LINE (1) was keyed up before the start at Albany last start and finished fourth. He has a good record on this track and should be right in the finish this time. FRANTIC WAR (3) is usually thereabouts and was less than a length from the winner when running third at Albany 8 days ago. Kyra Yuill sticks with him and so do we. Each way. PRAY AGAIN (2) has changed stables since last racing at Belmont. He will find the company in the country more to his liking and can give this a shake fresh up. A market watch is advised.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Second run back. First-up after seven months 5th of 7 at Ascot Cl1 on January 8 over 5f, 5 len behind Rocking Gem with 130lbs at $18. Previously second-up 10th of 12 at Belmont Park Cl1 C&G on June 19 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind My Hidden Universe carrying 132lbs at $17. Can take this out. 1st Pick 9 Kia Ora Tatou Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Lucy Fiore T: Adam Durrant	89	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months 5th of 7 at Ascot Cl1 on January 8 over 5f, 5 len behind Rocking Gem with 130lbs at $18. Previously second-up 10th of 12 at Belmont Park Cl1 C&G on June 19 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind My Hidden Universe carrying 132lbs at $17. Can take this out.
6	Useful type. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on January 4 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Valsassina carrying 122lbs at $8. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Bunbury Cl5 on November 24 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Kings Honour with 122lbs at $15. Likely to feature. 2nd Pick 6 This'll Show Ya Jockey: Holly Watson Trainer: Mitchell Pateman J: Holly Watson T: Mitchell Pateman	198	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Useful type. At the latest run 4th of 7 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on January 4 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Valsassina carrying 122lbs at $8. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Bunbury Cl5 on November 24 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Kings Honour with 122lbs at $15. Likely to feature.
1	Most recently 4th of 10 at Albany Rtg 58+ on January 11 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Mocha Dream carrying 128lbs at $6. The run before that led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Albany Rtg 69+ on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 6 len behind Agent Jay with 119lbs at $6. In the mix. 3rd Pick 1 Blue Line Jockey: Chanel Cooper Trainer: Samantha Faithfull J: Chanel Cooper T: Samantha Faithfull	135	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Most recently 4th of 10 at Albany Rtg 58+ on January 11 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Mocha Dream carrying 128lbs at $6. The run before that led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Albany Rtg 69+ on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 6 len behind Agent Jay with 119lbs at $6. In the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.