AU - Mount Barker - Race 2

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

(4)

12.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SETAGAYA (8) should continue what should be a good day for top trainer Adam Durrant who invariably has a good day when trekking to this circuit. She will be peaking third-up after a solid effort as favourite at Albany 2 weeks ago. On top. I LOVE LUCY A LOT (7) did not finish his race off as well as expected at Albany last time out after a good effort for third there before that. She is with another chance in this. BRANDBERG (1) just battled into fourth over a mile at Albany 8 days ago and may be better off being kept to the shorter trips for now. The blinkers are on for the first time and he has each-way claims. MAYBE DIVINE (2) was not too far away last time out and is worth including in all combinations to be safe. RUPERTS QUEEN (9) did well to finish fourth at Albany last start after getting her tongue over the bit. She will be at her peak fitness now and with the advantage of the pole position, she can figure in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Having third race start. At debut, 4th of 10 at Bunbury Mdn on December 19 over 6f, 5 len behind Chino La Diva carrying 120lbs at $8.50. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 5 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Mistress Of Excess carrying 120lbs at $2.70. Key runner who can get off the mark. 1st Pick 8 Setagaya Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Lucy Fiore T: Adam Durrant	132	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, 4th of 10 at Bunbury Mdn on December 19 over 6f, 5 len behind Chino La Diva carrying 120lbs at $8.50. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 5 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Mistress Of Excess carrying 120lbs at $2.70. Key runner who can get off the mark.
7	Last start 9th of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 5 over 6f, 10 len behind Mistress Of Excess with 120lbs at $3.10. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Albany Mdn on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 2 len behind Foxmania carrying 120lbs at $2.15. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 7 I Love Lucy A Lot Jockey: Christopher Nicoll Trainer: Steve Wolfe J: Christopher Nicoll T: Steve Wolfe	98	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Last start 9th of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 5 over 6f, 10 len behind Mistress Of Excess with 120lbs at $3.10. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Albany Mdn on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 2 len behind Foxmania carrying 120lbs at $2.15. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back.
1	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 11 over 1m, 4 len behind Missijay with 128lbs at $6.50. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Albany Mdn on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Foxmania carrying 128lbs at $5. Will be hard to beat. 3rd Pick 1 Brandberg Jockey: Taj Dyson Trainer: P B Hunter J: Taj Dyson T: P B Hunter	111	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 11 over 1m, 4 len behind Missijay with 128lbs at $6.50. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Albany Mdn on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Foxmania carrying 128lbs at $5. Will be hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.