AU - Kembla Grange - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

27.3K

VIEW

Verdict

VELIA (4) returned from a six-month spell for the new stable last start and did a good job to work home into fourth over 6 ½f at this track. Nicely placed over the extra ½f and in a race that doesn't drip with quality she is a genuine winning chance. O CARA MIA (7) is back after a 27-week lay-off. Opened last prep with three minor placings, the best of those runs the barnstorming second when resuming over 7 ½f at Hawkesbury. This looks a lovely race for her, with the long straight a plus. FLYING GREY (3) had her chance but was edged out of the placings in a busy finish on debut at Bathurst recently. Draws a nice gate and can progress from that run. CALL ME SON (2) is back after a nine-month absence. Didn't set the world on fire in the two runs of the maiden prep but has been gelded. Betting might hold the key. MAREBELLO (1) hasn't been sighted since finishing second over the mile here in May. Lightly raced and after a good trial at Bathurst recently looks ready to run.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Aura carrying 130lbs at $12. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on April 5 over 7 ¼f, 2.25 len behind Bavette with 126lbs at $26. Fitter for that run and expected to give this a mighty shake. 1st Pick 4 Velia Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Grant Buckley T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	178	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Aura carrying 130lbs at $12. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on April 5 over 7 ¼f, 2.25 len behind Bavette with 126lbs at $26. Fitter for that run and expected to give this a mighty shake.
7	Mare back from a spell of six months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Newcastle Prov Bm68 May 26 over 1m, on heavy track, 21 len behind Bengal Boy carrying 115lbs at $4.60. Previously first up, second of 14 at Hawkesbury Prov Mdn-Sw April 5 over 7 ½f, soft track, a long neck behind Empusa with 125lbs at $4.80. Improved markedly when last in work and can keep up the momentum this prep. 2nd Pick 7 O Cara Mia Jockey: Donovan Dillon Trainer: Edward Cummings J: Donovan Dillon T: Edward Cummings	83	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Mare back from a spell of six months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation second last of 9 at Newcastle Prov Bm68 May 26 over 1m, on heavy track, 21 len behind Bengal Boy carrying 115lbs at $4.60. Previously first up, second of 14 at Hawkesbury Prov Mdn-Sw April 5 over 7 ½f, soft track, a long neck behind Empusa with 125lbs at $4.80. Improved markedly when last in work and can keep up the momentum this prep.
3	At debut, 4th of 9 at Bathurst Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Casino Sting with 118lbs at $6.50. Can play a role in a modest affair. 3rd Pick 3 Flying Grey Jockey: Christian Reith Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Christian Reith T: Brad Widdup	135	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At debut, 4th of 9 at Bathurst Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Casino Sting with 118lbs at $6.50. Can play a role in a modest affair.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.