AU - Hobart - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.9f

OPEN

Turf

(5)

62.2K

VIEW

Verdict

PROMISES KEPT (4) is in the premier Victorian stable and is well-placed to be winning the feature. Brings compelling form from Melbourne including a near miss in a BM100 at The Valley last time. He races forward and should have them covered. Stablemate STRAWBERRY ROCK (2) has had three starts this preparation all at Stakes level. Placed earlier in the year in the Mornington Cup (1 ½m) and Sandown Cup (2m). Comes back 1 ½f freshened and has to be considered. ALHAMBRA LAD (3) led and won this race easily last year. He's needed the two runs this preparation and expect him to be sharper today. Maps well and Kersley rides. KALIUWAA FALLS (5) has his first crack at a middle distance and it should suit. He always puts in and goes into the trifectas at least.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Going well. Most recently 2nd of 13 at Moonee Valley Bm100 on December 28 over 1 ¼m, long-neck behind Bankers Choice carrying 119lbs at $4.40. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at Caulfield Bm84 on November 30 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Kadavar carrying 129lbs at $51. Hard to roll. 1st Pick 4 Promises Kept Jockey: Shane Foley Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Shane Foley T: Ciaron Maher	176	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Going well. Most recently 2nd of 13 at Moonee Valley Bm100 on December 28 over 1 ¼m, long-neck behind Bankers Choice carrying 119lbs at $4.40. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at Caulfield Bm84 on November 30 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Kadavar carrying 129lbs at $51. Hard to roll.
2	Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 10 at Pakenham in the LR Pakenham Cup on December 21 over 1/16m, 6 len behind Goldman with 119lbs at $7.50. The race before that 13th of 16 at Ballarat in the LR Brat Cup on December 7 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Berkeley Square carrying 119lbs at $26. Best form stacks up nicely. 2nd Pick 2 Strawberry Rock Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Thomas Stockdale T: Ciaron Maher	115	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 10 at Pakenham in the LR Pakenham Cup on December 21 over 1/16m, 6 len behind Goldman with 119lbs at $7.50. The race before that 13th of 16 at Ballarat in the LR Brat Cup on December 7 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Berkeley Square carrying 119lbs at $26. Best form stacks up nicely.
3	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming second last of 11 at Werribee Werribee Cup on December 8 over 1m, 6 len behind Riot And Rose carrying 119lbs at $41. Second-up 10th of 13 at Moonee Valley Bm100 on December 28 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Bankers Choice carrying 117lbs at $51. Racing well. Has the ability and a better showing is expected. 3rd Pick 3 Alhambra Lad Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne J: Fred W Kersley T: Patrick & Michelle Payne	138	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming second last of 11 at Werribee Werribee Cup on December 8 over 1m, 6 len behind Riot And Rose carrying 119lbs at $41. Second-up 10th of 13 at Moonee Valley Bm100 on December 28 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Bankers Choice carrying 117lbs at $51. Racing well. Has the ability and a better showing is expected.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.