AU - Hobart - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.5f

OPEN

Turf

(5)

31.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ALVARINHO (2) has been freshened following a near miss in the Listed Tasmanian Newmarket. Finally jumps from an inside barrier and flies this course/distance. Won this race last year and can add to that record. MAWALLOCK (3) represents a canny Victorian yard that successfully targets Tasmanian races. Won an Open at Ararat and then didn't have the best of it in an Open 3 at Cranbourne. Kersley comes to ride and tipping she's good enough. ANYWAYS ROXIE (9) is speedy and hasn't missed in four starts this preparation. This is harder but she keeps improving and Pires will use an inside barrier. ARUMA (5) and JAGUAR STONE (1) are racing well but this is a step up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resumes off a 53 day letup. First-up 2nd of 13 at this track Qlty on November 9 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Thespian Waters with 119lbs at $17. Second-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Launceston in the LR Nwmrkt Hcp on November 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Geegees Gemstone carrying 119lbs at $12. Capable of a better showing. Rates highly. 1st Pick 2 Alvarinho Jockey: Bulent Muhcu Trainer: Imogen Miller J: Bulent Muhcu T: Imogen Miller	160	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resumes off a 53 day letup. First-up 2nd of 13 at this track Qlty on November 9 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Thespian Waters with 119lbs at $17. Second-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Launceston in the LR Nwmrkt Hcp on November 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Geegees Gemstone carrying 119lbs at $12. Capable of a better showing. Rates highly.
3	Comes here off a 57-day let-up. Most recently from last on the turn ran last of 10 at Cranbourne F&M Plate on November 23 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Wings Of Song with 123lbs at $19. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Ararat Ararat Bowl November 10 over 6 ½f defeating Navy King carrying 120lbs at $3. Nicely placed. 2nd Pick 3 Mawallock Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Fred W Kersley T: Lindsey Smith	165	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Comes here off a 57-day let-up. Most recently from last on the turn ran last of 10 at Cranbourne F&M Plate on November 23 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Wings Of Song with 123lbs at $19. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Ararat Ararat Bowl November 10 over 6 ½f defeating Navy King carrying 120lbs at $3. Nicely placed.
9	On a four run winning streak. Most recently favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track Cl5 January 3 over 5 ½f defeating Sweet Lucifer carrying 119lbs at $2. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm68 December 15 over 5 ½f defeating Etosha with 125lbs at $1.50. Can run another big race. 3rd Pick 9 Anyways Roxie Jockey: David Pires Trainer: Jessie Bazan J: David Pires T: Jessie Bazan	167	-	-	-	29%
Analysis On a four run winning streak. Most recently favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track Cl5 January 3 over 5 ½f defeating Sweet Lucifer carrying 119lbs at $2. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm68 December 15 over 5 ½f defeating Etosha with 125lbs at $1.50. Can run another big race.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).