AU - Hobart - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

13.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Small field but good race. KAKIA (2) had been in great form before a disappointing run last time when he sat outside the leader and faded. According to the rider got the tongue over the bit and wouldn't settle. Would go close in this on the previous runs and worth another try. MISS DE LUNE (9) ran sixth fresh but the run was full of merit when out on a limb on the turn and making up late ground. Fitter and sets up to stalk the pace here. Very wary. RUNAWAY STATEMENT (3) is another who is better than last start. Comes through some hot form race and has the claim for Pang. Will be winding up late. GINGERSON (6) rarely wins but hard to leave out. Placed four of the last five and has a win and four minors from six tries over this course and distance. Include in everything.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Last start sat on the pace before fading second last of 8 at Launceston Cl4 Sw on November 26 over 7f, 7 len behind The Longest Yard with 126lbs at $6.50. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Launceston Cl3 on October 29 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Whippin Piccadilly carrying 129lbs at $2.90. Forgive last start and goes close on previous form. 1st Pick 2 Kakia Jockey: Bulent Muhcu Trainer: Jessie Bazan J: Bulent Muhcu T: Jessie Bazan	147	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Last start sat on the pace before fading second last of 8 at Launceston Cl4 Sw on November 26 over 7f, 7 len behind The Longest Yard with 126lbs at $6.50. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Launceston Cl3 on October 29 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Whippin Piccadilly carrying 129lbs at $2.90. Forgive last start and goes close on previous form.
1	Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm60 November 23 over 7f defeating Steele My Sunshine carrying 129lbs at $2.70. The run before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm60 November 4 over 6f in soft going defeating Make A Decision carrying 127lbs at $2.50. In sparkling form and expected to take catching. 2nd Pick 1 Restricted Access Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John Keys J: Non Runner T: John Keys	153	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm60 November 23 over 7f defeating Steele My Sunshine carrying 129lbs at $2.70. The run before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm60 November 4 over 6f in soft going defeating Make A Decision carrying 127lbs at $2.50. In sparkling form and expected to take catching.
9	Second-up. First-up after three months 6th of 14 at this track Cl1 on November 23 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Daytona Diva with 125lbs at $18. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at this track Cl1 on July 20 over 7f, slow going neck behind Snow Eagle with 125lbs at $18. Nice return and drawn for a perfect trail this time. 3rd Pick 9 Miss De Lune Jockey: David Pires Trainer: John Keys J: David Pires T: John Keys	102	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 6th of 14 at this track Cl1 on November 23 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Daytona Diva with 125lbs at $18. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at this track Cl1 on July 20 over 7f, slow going neck behind Snow Eagle with 125lbs at $18. Nice return and drawn for a perfect trail this time.

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