START YOUR OWN WINNING STREAK

5:00 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.5K

VIEW

Verdict

ELLRO (7) returned from an 18-week spell for a new stable and broke her maiden with a narrow victory over 6f at this track last start. Lightly raced mare who has always shown ability and might be ready to capitalise this prep. STAR OF YAMBA (13) took on a BM66 at Port Macquarie last time out and ran a terrific race, beaten narrowly in a busy finish over 7 ½f. Not the most reliable mare in the world but back in a BM58 she must be considered. SALAMANCAS (4) was eight weeks between runs when last of twelve over this trip at Taree on 24 September. Trialled well subsequently. Deserves another chance. ICON OF STYLE (8) led but weakened at the end of 1m here last start. Better placed back to this trip and should give backers a sight. HOTZINO (6) is racing well without winning and is one worth putting in exotics.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Second-up. First-up after four months came from midfield and won by a head at this track Super Mdn-Sw November 6 over 6f defeating Cantankerous with 126lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Moree Mdn on June 4 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Powerstone with 122lbs at $21. Has upside and can make it two on the trot. 1st Pick 7 Ellro Jockey: Michael Cahill Trainer: David Mccolm J: Michael Cahill T: David Mccolm	147	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months came from midfield and won by a head at this track Super Mdn-Sw November 6 over 6f defeating Cantankerous with 126lbs at $2.30. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Moree Mdn on June 4 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Powerstone with 122lbs at $21. Has upside and can make it two on the trot.
13	Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Port Macquarie Bm66 on November 14 over 7 ½f, neck behind Prancing With Fire carrying 117lbs at $19. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 12 at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 on November 8 over 7 ¼f, 4.5 len behind The Coat Hanger carrying 121lbs at $21. Big chance with a repeat of that latest effort. 2nd Pick 13 Star Of Yamba Jockey: Kacie Adams Trainer: T J Higgins J: Kacie Adams T: T J Higgins	80	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Port Macquarie Bm66 on November 14 over 7 ½f, neck behind Prancing With Fire carrying 117lbs at $19. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 12 at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 on November 8 over 7 ¼f, 4.5 len behind The Coat Hanger carrying 121lbs at $21. Big chance with a repeat of that latest effort.
4	Returns from a 59-day let-up. Last start ran last of 12 at Taree Bm58 on September 24 over 7f, 9 len behind Who Ever Thought carrying 131lbs at $9. The start before that won by a head at Kempsey Mdn July 30 over 7 ¼f on a soft track defeating Dreymon with 122lbs at $4. Prepared to forget last start, can make amends. 3rd Pick 4 Salamancas Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Noel Mayfield-Smith J: Courtney Bellamy T: Noel Mayfield-Smith	135	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Returns from a 59-day let-up. Last start ran last of 12 at Taree Bm58 on September 24 over 7f, 9 len behind Who Ever Thought carrying 131lbs at $9. The start before that won by a head at Kempsey Mdn July 30 over 7 ¼f on a soft track defeating Dreymon with 122lbs at $4. Prepared to forget last start, can make amends.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.