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AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.5K

VIEW

Verdict

THE COAT HANGER (8) ran poorly at her first two runs this prep then started favourite and the money was right last start when she led all the way for an easy win over 7 ¼f at Kempsey. This is no harder to stick with the mare now she is back in form. SAXINOUE (4) met with solid support when resuming over 5 ?f at this track but didn't run on as expected and missed the frame. Won easily second-up last prep off a similar first-up figure. Big danger with the blinkers applied for the first time. STOINKA (2) made it five minor placings on the bounce when he was beaten a lip over this trip at Casino last time under a crushing weight. Up in grade but gets some relief. No placings from five Grafton runs the niggling concern. HARDLEY GREY (3) got too far back and did a good job to be beaten under two lengths here at this trip recently. Should be thereabouts again with the aid of the inside stall. I AM CONVINCING (7) ran a much better race last start and is worth considering.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	At the latest run favourite, won by 2 len at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 November 8 over 7 ¼f defeating Casino Bear carrying 117lbs at $3.50. The start before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Coffs Harbour Bm50 on November 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Dresden with 127lbs at $11. Well placed. Back in form and will be in this for a long way. 1st Pick 8 The Coat Hanger Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Tas Morton J: Siena Grima T: Tas Morton	105	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by 2 len at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 November 8 over 7 ¼f defeating Casino Bear carrying 117lbs at $3.50. The start before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Coffs Harbour Bm50 on November 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Dresden with 127lbs at $11. Well placed. Back in form and will be in this for a long way.
4	Second-up. First-up after five months 4th in a small field at this track Cg&E Bm58 on October 29 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind West Germany with 121lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2.75 len at Murwillumbah Cg&E Mdn June 10 over 6f in heavy going defeating Newsbeat with 123lbs at $2.90. Major player in this line up. 2nd Pick 4 Saxinoue Jockey: Matthew Mcguren Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Matthew Mcguren T: Matthew Dunn	149	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 4th in a small field at this track Cg&E Bm58 on October 29 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind West Germany with 121lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up favourite, won by 2.75 len at Murwillumbah Cg&E Mdn June 10 over 6f in heavy going defeating Newsbeat with 123lbs at $2.90. Major player in this line up.
2	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Casino Bm50 on October 26 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Cowgirl Lilly carrying 141lbs at $3.30. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Lismore Cg&E Bm58 on October 20 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Cold One carrying 132lbs at $6. Making headway. Racing too well to leave out. 3rd Pick 2 Stoinka Jockey: Jai Williams Trainer: Dennis Dwane J: Jai Williams T: Dennis Dwane	119	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Casino Bm50 on October 26 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Cowgirl Lilly carrying 141lbs at $3.30. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Lismore Cg&E Bm58 on October 20 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Cold One carrying 132lbs at $6. Making headway. Racing too well to leave out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

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An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

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Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.