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4:20 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.5K

VIEW

Verdict

THE COAT HANGER (8) ran poorly at her first two runs this prep then started favourite and the money was right last start when she led all the way for an easy win over 7 ¼f at Kempsey. This is no harder to stick with the mare now she is back in form. SAXINOUE (4) met with solid support when resuming over 5 ?f at this track but didn't run on as expected and missed the frame. Won easily second-up last prep off a similar first-up figure. Big danger with the blinkers applied for the first time. STOINKA (2) made it five minor placings on the bounce when he was beaten a lip over this trip at Casino last time under a crushing weight. Up in grade but gets some relief. No placings from five Grafton runs the niggling concern. HARDLEY GREY (3) got too far back and did a good job to be beaten under two lengths here at this trip recently. Should be thereabouts again with the aid of the inside stall. I AM CONVINCING (7) ran a much better race last start and is worth considering.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	1 Draft Day Jockey: Noriyuki Masuda Trainer: Ethan Ensby J: Noriyuki Masuda T: Ethan Ensby	73	-	-	-	10%	10/1
2	3rd Pick 2 Stoinka Jockey: Jai Williams Trainer: Dennis Dwane J: Jai Williams T: Dennis Dwane	119	-	-	-	12%	8/1
3	3 Hardley Grey Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: Owen Glue J: Danny Peisley T: Owen Glue	135	-	-	-	19%	9/2
4	2nd Pick 4 Saxinoue Jockey: Matthew Mcguren Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Matthew Mcguren T: Matthew Dunn	149	-	-	-	20%	4/1
5	5 Celebrity's Beau Jockey: Luke Rolls Trainer: Samantha Mcguren J: Luke Rolls T: Samantha Mcguren	92	-	-	-	5%	20/1
6	6 South Boambee Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Warren Dean J: Non Runner T: Warren Dean	108	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
7	7 I Am Convincing Jockey: Andrew Mallyon Trainer: T M Whittington J: Andrew Mallyon T: T M Whittington	135	-	-	-	15%	6/1
8	1st Pick 8 The Coat Hanger Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Tas Morton J: Siena Grima T: Tas Morton	105	-	-	-	13%	7/1
9	9 Rothesay's Ruby Jockey: Anthony Allen Trainer: Peter Sinclair J: Anthony Allen T: Peter Sinclair	85	-	-	-	15%	6/1
10	10 Charles Rennie Jockey: Andrew Gibbons Trainer: Lisa Sheppard J: Andrew Gibbons T: Lisa Sheppard	59	-	-	-	6%	16/1
11	11 Dawn Command Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Peter Evans J: Courtney Bellamy T: Peter Evans	77	-	-	-	2%	80/1
12	12 Wotsit Jockey: Madeline Owen Trainer: Jason Reilly J: Madeline Owen T: Jason Reilly	80	-	-	-	5%	20/1
13	13 Rox'n'rol Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: John Shelton J: Unknown Jockey T: John Shelton	88	-	-	-	4%	25/1
14	14 Uploads Jockey: Nozi Tomizawa Trainer: Jennifer M Smith J: Nozi Tomizawa T: Jennifer M Smith	68	-	-	-	1%	150/1

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.