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3:10 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

5.5f

Class 1

Turf

HEAVY 10

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

THROWNUNDERTHEBUS (7) won her maiden in good style here two back then led and was only beaten in the dying stages last start over 5 ?f at this track. Drops 2kgs and should give them something to catch. INDUBITABLY (9) was strong through the line when a close second last time out over 6f at Beaudesert, her first run for 16 weeks. This might be a touch easier so with the run under her belt she is a serious contender. CALVARY (3) defeated Thrownunderthebus first-up at Murwillumbah then had a respiratory issue when down the track at Ipswich recently. Worth another chance despite the awful gate. THUNDEROUS (14) ran a better race here last start when he just failed to hold on for a placing over a similar trip to this. Fitter for two runs back from a spell so must be included. Last start Bathurst maiden winner DUBAI DAME (6) was switched stables and been freshened up. Worth keeping tabs on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Most recently led to the turn then faded 5th of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 6 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Groovy Day with 127lbs at $7. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.2 len at this track Ctry Mdn October 22 over 5f defeating Meghan carrying 123lbs at $4. In fine form and looks the testing material. 1st Pick 7 Thrownunderthebus Jockey: Kirk Matheson Trainer: John Shelton J: Kirk Matheson T: John Shelton	148	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently led to the turn then faded 5th of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 6 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Groovy Day with 127lbs at $7. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.2 len at this track Ctry Mdn October 22 over 5f defeating Meghan carrying 123lbs at $4. In fine form and looks the testing material.
9	Second run back. First-up after four months raced on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Beaudesert Cl2 on November 2 over 6f, head behind Lizzie's Gem carrying 120lbs at $4.50. Previously second-up 10th of 13 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw on June 16 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Incessant carrying 120lbs at $21. Back in good shape and is a winning chance. 2nd Pick 9 Indubitably Jockey: Luke Rolls Trainer: Kurt Goldman J: Luke Rolls T: Kurt Goldman	169	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months raced on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Beaudesert Cl2 on November 2 over 6f, head behind Lizzie's Gem carrying 120lbs at $4.50. Previously second-up 10th of 13 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw on June 16 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Incessant carrying 120lbs at $21. Back in good shape and is a winning chance.
3	Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn-Sw October 15 over 5f in the wet defeating Thrownunderthebus with 125lbs at $1.80. Last start second last of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Bm65 on November 1 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Alpha Bravo with 122lbs at $8. Handy gelding who can bounce back. 3rd Pick 3 Calvary Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Unknown Jockey T: Matthew Dunn	136	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Murwillumbah Ctry Mdn-Sw October 15 over 5f in the wet defeating Thrownunderthebus with 125lbs at $1.80. Last start second last of 9 at Ipswich 3yo Bm65 on November 1 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Alpha Bravo with 122lbs at $8. Handy gelding who can bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.