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1:25 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

8.5f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

KING'S WARRIOR (1) travelled on the speed but felt the pinch at the furlong and missed the placings on debut over this distance at Ipswich last start. Will benefit greatly from that experience and the addition of blinkers today might give him something extra. EMPRESS OF MILAN (4) has had plenty of chances but remains a maiden after 18 starts. Finished runner-up here at this distance two back then was unsuited dropping back in journey last time. One to consider back in the right race. SELLINYA (2) is racing well but the maiden win is proving elusive. Led and was only claimed late when a close third last start here at this trip. McGuren taking over today is a positive step. MOON TREATY (8) has never raced beyond 7f but he has been finding the line well so should cope. BRIGHT THE SUN (3) shows little early dash so this longer trip might suit.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At debut, 4th of 7 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 7 over 1 ¹/16m, 2.25 len behind Metcalfe with 128lbs at $6.50. Among the leading chances. 1st Pick 1 King's Warrior Jockey: Anthony Allen Trainer: Michael Morrison J: Anthony Allen T: Michael Morrison	117	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis At debut, 4th of 7 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 7 over 1 ¹/16m, 2.25 len behind Metcalfe with 128lbs at $6.50. Among the leading chances.
4	Most recently 7th of 9 at Kempsey Super Mdn-Sw on November 8 over 7 ¼f, 6 len behind Powerful Dragon with 121lbs at $17. Before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 29 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Pennies Destiny with 121lbs at $6.50. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 4 Empress Of Milan Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Tas Morton J: Siena Grima T: Tas Morton	107	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Most recently 7th of 9 at Kempsey Super Mdn-Sw on November 8 over 7 ¼f, 6 len behind Powerful Dragon with 121lbs at $17. Before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 29 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Pennies Destiny with 121lbs at $6.50. Terrific chance to return to form.
2	Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track Ctry Mdn on November 6 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.6 len behind Yarra Princess with 120lbs at $12. The race before that 5th of 8 at Armidale Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Glorien carrying 119lbs at $8. Can improve again. Shaping up nicely and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 2 Sellinya Jockey: Matthew Mcguren Trainer: Mark Ostini J: Matthew Mcguren T: Mark Ostini	167	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 8 at this track Ctry Mdn on November 6 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.6 len behind Yarra Princess with 120lbs at $12. The race before that 5th of 8 at Armidale Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Glorien carrying 119lbs at $8. Can improve again. Shaping up nicely and can go on with it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.