AU - Gosford - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

27.3K

VIEW

Verdict

EMBALLEE (6) finally put it all together at start seven when recording a comprehensive maiden win over 1m at Hawkesbury. Looks to have more upside than most of these and maps to get the right run. INVASIVE DREAMS (4) back sharply in class after going out hard for a tiring fifth over 1m at Randwick in the Filante. Will relish Grima's 7lbs claim and shapes as a genuine top-three prospect. DRUNKEN SAILOR (9) has started to hit his straps at his last two runs. Impressed when picking them up effortlessly for a decisive win over 7 ¼f at Queanbeyan in C3 class. Looks up to this at the good each-way price. WHETU (1) in need of the run first-up over the unsuitable trip when last of ten over 6 ¾f at Newcastle. This looks more to his liking and can surprise some of his more fancied rivals.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 2.25 len at Hawkesbury 4yo+ Mdn-Sw October 23 over 1m defeating Switz with 126lbs at $1.26. Before that 3rd of 7 at Randwick Kensington Mdn-Sw on October 8 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Pictor carrying 126lbs at $18. Can make it back-to-back wins. 1st Pick 6 Emballee Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Chris Waller J: Zac Lloyd T: Chris Waller	134	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 2.25 len at Hawkesbury 4yo+ Mdn-Sw October 23 over 1m defeating Switz with 126lbs at $1.26. Before that 3rd of 7 at Randwick Kensington Mdn-Sw on October 8 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Pictor carrying 126lbs at $18. Can make it back-to-back wins.
4	At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at Randwick Filante on October 25 over 1m, 3 len behind Fortune carrying 119lbs at $101. The race before that got back early 6th of 12 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 on October 11 over 7f, 4 len behind Modella carrying 117lbs at $101. Working up to a win. Great chance to atone despite drawing out. 2nd Pick 4 Invasive Dreams Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Shaun Harvey J: Siena Grima T: Shaun Harvey	150	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at Randwick Filante on October 25 over 1m, 3 len behind Fortune carrying 119lbs at $101. The race before that got back early 6th of 12 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 on October 11 over 7f, 4 len behind Modella carrying 117lbs at $101. Working up to a win. Great chance to atone despite drawing out.
9	Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by 2.75 len at Queanbeyan Cl3 October 27 over 7 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Cosmic Ride carrying 122lbs at $9. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Orange Bm58 on October 9 over 1m, on a slow track, head behind Ferrari Man with 131lbs at $7. Swooper to watch for late in the piece. 3rd Pick 9 Drunken Sailor Jockey: Jay Ford Trainer: James Ponsonby J: Jay Ford T: James Ponsonby	100	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by 2.75 len at Queanbeyan Cl3 October 27 over 7 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Cosmic Ride carrying 122lbs at $9. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Orange Bm58 on October 9 over 1m, on a slow track, head behind Ferrari Man with 131lbs at $7. Swooper to watch for late in the piece.

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