AU - Gatton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

13.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough. LISSARO (14) has been racing in stronger and measure up his chances on his nose defeat at the Gold Coast two starts back. May have to do it the hard way again, but finds the right race. SECURITY ADVISOR (1) had no luck at Kilcoy last time but won there this grade prior as a firm favourite. Needs a good ride, but the 7lbs claim brings him right into it. BUDDY'S TALE (10) is another good enough on his day. Carries a feather with the 7lbs claim and should be around the mark. CHANGE THE DEEL (2) had to contend with a wide alley at his latest run and finished out of the placings over 1 ?m at Gold Coast. In the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
14	Most recently 9th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Deep Drive carrying 125lbs at $7. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Gold Coast 0 - 60 on November 8 over 1m, nose behind Grey Northern with 120lbs at $18. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 1st Pick 14 Lissaro Jockey: Micheal Hellyer Trainer: Harold Norman J: Micheal Hellyer T: Harold Norman	79	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently 9th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Deep Drive carrying 125lbs at $7. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Gold Coast 0 - 60 on November 8 over 1m, nose behind Grey Northern with 120lbs at $18. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.
1	Last start 4th of 7 at Kilcoy Bm62 on November 19 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Captain Eagle with 125lbs at $4.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Kilcoy Bm60 October 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Our Orator with 121lbs at $2.50. Can atone. 2nd Pick 1 Security Advisor Jockey: Bailie Baker Trainer: James Hepworth J: Bailie Baker T: James Hepworth	108	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start 4th of 7 at Kilcoy Bm62 on November 19 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Captain Eagle with 125lbs at $4.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Kilcoy Bm60 October 7 over 1 ³/16m defeating Our Orator with 121lbs at $2.50. Can atone.
6	Last start 5th of 9 at Toowoomba Bm60 on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 4.5 len behind Bavarian Lady with 119lbs at $14. The start before that from last on the turn 4th of 7 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on November 14 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Super Fair with 121lbs at $51. Rates well in this field and deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 6 Another Dazzler Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Neil Hocking J: Non Runner T: Neil Hocking	75	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 5th of 9 at Toowoomba Bm60 on November 22 over 1 5/16m, 4.5 len behind Bavarian Lady with 119lbs at $14. The start before that from last on the turn 4th of 7 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on November 14 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Super Fair with 121lbs at $51. Rates well in this field and deserves another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.